Ukraine’s strategic strikes into Belgorod and Kursk have shattered the myth of Russian dominance, exposing cracks in Putin’s regime and defense strategy.
When the Kremlin’s biggest cheerleaders start whispering "cut the act," you know the stage has fallen apart. Russia’s theater of lies is teetering on collapse, as even the best-paid propagandists are now struggling to spin Putin’s narrative in the face of Ukraine’s bold counter-invasion. Ukraine’s strategic and unexpected strikes, particularly in Russia's Belgorod and Kursk regions, have caught Moscow off guard. By attacking where Russia least expected, Ukraine has managed to shake the foundation of Putin’s carefully constructed house of cards. Even Russian insiders are starting to realize that perhaps it’s time to admit that the game isn’t as easy as they made it seem.
Take
Andrey Fedorov, the former Russian deputy foreign minister, for example. During
a broadcast of The Meeting Place on NTV, Fedorov dared to speak what
many in the Kremlin whisper behind closed doors: Russia is drowning in its own
delusions. He didn’t mince words when he called out the Russian media’s lies
about Ukraine’s weakness. Fedorov mentioned that around 20,000 Ukrainian
soldiers were poised near Belgorod, a far cry from the powerless image of
Ukraine that Russian media loves to project. The idea that Ukraine could even
plan, let alone execute, such an operation speaks volumes about the tactical
reality that Moscow is unwilling to acknowledge.
Ukraine’s
tactics are deliberate and strategic. The recent incursion into the Kursk
region was months in the making, according to Fedorov. Ukraine’s objective was
clear: destabilize Russia’s defenses and put pressure on the country by forcing
it to destroy its own infrastructure, such as the gas hub in Sudzha. This
mirrors Moscow’s infamous tactics in places like Chechnya, Syria, and now
Ukraine—destroy cities in order to “save” them. But now, Russia is the one
faced with the prospect of razing its own strategic assets. And the blow isn’t
just military; it has the potential to disrupt gas deliveries to Europe,
hitting countries like Hungary and Slovakia hard. Ironically, it would be
Russia’s own hand that turns off the tap.
This
shift in tactics by Ukraine highlights the necessity of probing Russian
defenses with small, agile units. These raids serve to expose the cracks in
Russia’s vast but vulnerable border regions. The United States and Western
allies must capitalize on this momentum by providing Ukraine with the necessary
permissions and weaponry to strike deeper into Russian territory. Long-range
weapons, such as the Army Tactical Missile System (ATACMS), could significantly
alter the battlefield by allowing Ukraine to hit key Russian military
infrastructure far behind enemy lines. Such capabilities would not only advance
Ukraine’s war effort but also bring the conflict to a just end sooner.
But
this is where Western hesitance comes into play. While Ukraine has been
supplied with sophisticated weaponry, there has been reluctance to allow
strikes inside Russia’s borders. This cautious approach, though understandable
in terms of avoiding escalation, ultimately prolongs the conflict. The ability
to strike targets deeper within Russia would disrupt the supply chains and
logistics that fuel Russia’s war machine. Moreover, it would shift the
psychological balance of the conflict by showing that Russia is not immune to
the consequences of its own aggression.
In
the fog of war, the Kremlin's mouthpieces have begun to crack under the
pressure. Political scientist Anton Khaschenko spoke the unspeakable: Russia’s
boasting is creating a false sense of security. It’s no longer possible to
convince the Russian public that victory is just around the corner when Ukraine
continues to press forward. Meanwhile, political editor Maxim Yusin has taken a
more cynical stance, advising Russians to prepare for the loss of territory. He
notes that while Russia’s sheer size might make the loss of border regions seem
insignificant, the psychological impact is profound. Russians are not used to
thinking of their homeland as vulnerable, but Ukraine’s advances are
challenging that perception.
Ukraine’s
counter-invasion is a psychological as well as military offensive, designed to
disrupt the Kremlin's narrative of invincibility. This reminds many observers
of the Kursk submarine disaster of 2000, a national humiliation that took place
in the early days of Putin’s presidency. Back then, Putin’s mishandling of the
tragedy marked a low point in his rule. Now, with Ukraine's strikes echoing
through Belgorod and Kursk, another humiliation looms on the horizon. The
parallels are hard to ignore: just as the Kursk submarine sank in icy waters,
so too might Putin’s regime sink under the weight of its own hubris.
The
only way to accelerate this collapse is by allowing Ukraine to unleash the full
extent of its military capabilities. The West must give Ukraine the green light
to use long-range weapons inside Russia, targeting critical military
infrastructure and command centers. This would not only destabilize Russia’s
ability to wage war but also force the Kremlin to reassess its costly campaign.
Moreover, the historical context supports such actions. Ukraine has a long and
fraught history with Russia, dating back centuries. Vladimir Rogov, a
Russian-installed official in the Zaporizhzhia region, might dismiss Ukrainians
as “Southern Russian people,” but the reality is that Ukraine has long resisted
Russian domination. From the Cossacks of the 17th century to the independence
movements of the 20th century, Ukraine’s struggle for sovereignty is nothing
new. Today’s conflict is just the latest chapter in a long history of
resistance.
The
West must recognize that this is not just a fight for territory; it is a fight
for the future of Ukraine as an independent nation. By providing Ukraine with
the tools to strike deep into Russian territory, the West can help bring about
the just end of this war. The Kremlin’s lies are unraveling, and even its most
loyal propagandists are starting to see the writing on the wall. Now is the
time to press the advantage and support Ukraine in its quest for victory.
As
Russia’s misinformation machine continues to sputter, perhaps the Kremlin’s
next big production will be a tragicomedy titled How to Lose a War Without
Really Trying.
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