Ukraine's successful incursion into Russia's territory exposes the cracks in Moscow's military might and reveals a vulnerability that must be further exploited with long-range weapons.
Ukraine is hitting back, and Putin must feel like the world’s largest game of whack-a-mole has begun—just as soon as one front settles, another pops up. Ukraine’s recent incursion into Russia’s Kursk and Belgorod regions has made headlines, raising the question: Is it time to give Ukraine the green light to use long-range weapons within Russia? The United States and the West must step up and grant Ukraine the permissions to use long-range weapons on Russian soil. Doing so could significantly change the direction of the war and help bring a just end to this ongoing conflict.
The
successful operation led by Ukraine is not only a strategic breakthrough but a
psychological one as well. It marks the first time that Russia, a nuclear
power, has been invaded since World War II, and it sends a clear message to the
Kremlin that Ukraine is not intimidated by its size or military might. But to
sustain this momentum, Ukraine needs more than a pat on the back. It needs the
tools to keep pushing forward, and that means long-range weapons capable of
hitting key Russian targets. Ukraine's military success inside Russian
territory demonstrates that they are capable of managing and executing
well-planned operations. However, their success could be greatly amplified with
Western permission to use these weapons.
Western
nations, particularly the United States and Germany, have hesitated to fully
support Ukraine’s military ambitions beyond its borders. The argument against
permitting long-range attacks into Russia has largely been one of caution—fear
of escalation, nuclear retaliation, or dragging NATO directly into the
conflict. The U.S. has provided over $43 billion in military aid to Ukraine
since the conflict began in February 2022, but this aid has primarily been
defensive in nature. What Ukraine needs now is offensive capability. Long-range
weapons, such as HIMARS (High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems) and ATACMS
(Army Tactical Missile Systems), could enable Ukraine to strike critical
military infrastructure deep inside Russia, disrupting supply chains, command
centers, and airbases that are currently out of reach.
Let’s
take a historical lesson from World War II when the Allies realized that the
only way to win the war against Nazi Germany was to take the fight to their
homeland. Bombing campaigns that targeted German industrial and military
infrastructure were instrumental in weakening Hitler’s war machine. Similarly,
the ability to strike inside Russia could weaken Moscow’s resolve, while
simultaneously boosting Ukraine’s morale and operational effectiveness. The
West should learn from history and not hold back in giving Ukraine the ability
to take the fight directly to Russia.
The
Ukrainian incursion into Russian territory also reveals something that Western
analysts have been reluctant to acknowledge: Russia is vulnerable. The fact
that Ukrainian forces were able to push past two lines of Russian defenses in
Kursk with little resistance underscores the cracks in Russia’s military might.
Despite its nuclear arsenal, Russia’s conventional forces have proven to be
less formidable than once thought. It is no secret that Russia’s military has
been plagued with logistical issues, corruption, and low morale. Reports of
Russian soldiers refusing to fight or deserting their posts have surfaced
throughout the war. By allowing Ukraine to use long-range weapons, Western
powers could exacerbate these vulnerabilities and force Russia into a defensive
posture within its own borders.
Ukraine
has already shown it can conduct highly maneuverable operations and avoid the
pitfalls of traditional, symmetrical warfare. Attacking where Russia is weakest
and performing raids with small, mobile units have been key to their success.
But as Ukraine pushes deeper into Russia, the logistical challenges grow more
complex. Without the ability to strike Russian supply lines and reinforce their
own positions with long-range artillery, Ukraine risks overextending itself.
Putin will not sit idly by while Ukrainian forces advance. He will retaliate,
and Ukraine must be prepared to defend what it has gained. Long-range weapons
would provide the critical support needed to sustain these offensives, protect
supply routes, and fend off Russian counterattacks.
Moreover,
the argument that long-range attacks on Russian soil could lead to nuclear
escalation is often overblown. While Putin frequently rattles his nuclear
saber, the reality is that using nuclear weapons would isolate Russia even
further on the global stage. China, a key Russian ally, has already voiced
concerns over the potential use of nuclear weapons, and it is unlikely that
even Russia’s closest partners would stand by Moscow in the event of a nuclear
strike. The West, therefore, should not be deterred by Putin’s bluster.
Instead, it should focus on providing Ukraine with the military means to defend
itself and bring about a just resolution to the conflict.
The
West’s reluctance to allow Ukraine to use long-range weapons inside Russia is
not only a strategic miscalculation but a moral one as well. Ukraine is
fighting for its survival against an aggressor that has shown no regard for
international law or human rights. The atrocities committed by Russian forces
in Bucha, Mariupol, and other occupied areas are well-documented, and the
ongoing missile strikes on civilian infrastructure in Ukraine are a blatant
violation of the Geneva Conventions. By denying Ukraine the ability to strike
back within Russia, the West is effectively tying one hand behind its back.
On
the other hand, granting Ukraine permission to use long-range weapons could
serve as a deterrent to future Russian aggression. If Ukraine is able to
demonstrate that it can strike deep within Russia, it may force Putin to
reconsider his long-term strategy and push him to the negotiating table. After
all, no leader, no matter how authoritarian, can sustain a war indefinitely if
their own homeland is under threat. The cost of war must be felt on both sides,
and currently, Russia is shielded from the direct consequences of its actions.
In
plain terms, the West must stop dancing around the issue and give Ukraine the
tools it needs to end this war on just terms. Long-range weapons are not just a
tactical advantage—they are a necessity for Ukraine to defend its sovereignty
and bring about peace. After all, in this game of chess, the best defense is a
good offense. And perhaps, when this war is finally over, we’ll look back and
realize that the West’s reluctance was nothing more than an unnecessary pothole
on the road to peace.
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