Sunday, November 17, 2024

The Green Delusion: Why Abandoning Fossil Fuels Will Leave Us in the Dark

 


The so-called green revolution is an illusion when we depend on fossil-fueled electricity to power green technologies. Until solar panels and wind turbines can keep factories humming day and night, fossil fuels aren't just an option—they’re a necessity.

It seems we're all being driven by ideals—but perhaps the engine isn't quite built yet. The Biden administration, in partnership with climate enthusiasts across the West, is racing to abandon fossil fuels: gas-powered cars, gas-run factories, and anything that smacks of hydrocarbons—all within a mere decade. It's almost as if fossil fuels are a dragon to be slain, and electric vehicles (EVs) are the knight in shining armor. But behind all the promises, slogans, and political cheers lies an inconvenient truth: fossil fuels are not just a bad habit we need to kick. They are the foundations of our modern world, and we need to be realistic about how we use them while integrating green technologies. Pushing for an all-out shift to 18th and 19th-century "green tech" as a complete substitute is misguided. Instead, fossil fuels and new energy sources need to coexist, creating a bridge that takes us toward a genuinely sustainable future.

When examining the history of energy transitions, one critical point stands out: newer technologies do not simply erase older ones. They complement them, add to them, and help evolve their usage. Take coal, for instance. When it began powering industries during the 19th century, it did not entirely replace traditional windmills and watermills. Instead, it simply offered another source of reliable energy that was crucial for an expanding industrial landscape. As oil entered the scene, coal still played a significant role, especially in energy-dense industries such as steel production. Fast forward to today—renewables are growing, but coal, oil, and gas remain essential. Even in 2023, coal still accounted for 20% of electricity production in the United States, according to data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). The point here isn’t about resisting change; it’s about recognizing that change takes time, and abandoning one energy source wholesale has consequences. We can innovate, but we must be careful not to disrupt what already works in our fervor for what’s new.

Now let’s talk about electric vehicles, which have become the crown jewel of the green energy narrative. But are they truly as "green" as we want to believe? EVs are often marketed as a clean alternative to internal combustion engines, but their connection to fossil fuels remains largely ignored. As of 2024, over 60% of electricity in the United States still comes from fossil fuels—primarily natural gas and coal. This means that the electricity used to charge the much-touted Tesla or Nissan Leaf may well be coming from a coal-fired power plant. The International Energy Agency (IEA) highlighted this irony in a recent report: while EVs reduce tailpipe emissions, they don't erase the fossil fuel footprint if the grid isn’t clean. This makes EVs a paradox: electric, yes, but only as green as the energy source that powers them.

Moreover, the production of electric vehicles has a dark side that is rarely mentioned. The batteries that power these vehicles rely on minerals like lithium, cobalt, and nickel—resources that are not only limited but also have a significant environmental and human toll. The Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) supplies about 70% of the world’s cobalt, a crucial component in lithium-ion batteries. Reports from Amnesty International in 2023 showed that child labor and hazardous working conditions are rampant in these mines. The "green revolution" is indeed coming at a cost, and it’s a cost being borne by the world's poorest and most vulnerable. If this is the price of our so-called clean energy future, perhaps we should rethink our definition of “clean.”

Solar panels and wind turbines are often held up as the solution for all our energy needs, but their limitations are conveniently brushed aside by their advocates. Solar energy only works when the sun is shining, and wind energy only works when the wind is blowing. These are not baseload power sources, and until we figure out large-scale, efficient energy storage—something far from being commercially viable—they cannot replace fossil fuels. Germany, for example, experienced notable instability in its grid after it moved away from nuclear and coal power too hastily. During the winter of 2022, Germany had to reactivate several coal-fired power plants to avoid power shortages. Here lies another paradox: a nation often seen as a green leader was forced to rely on the dirtiest energy source to keep its citizens warm. It seems that in the rush to go green, some essential lessons about energy stability were forgotten.

And then there is nuclear power—a source that is clean, reliable, and incredibly efficient. It could play a crucial role in reducing greenhouse gas emissions while providing stable energy. France serves as a prime example: around 70% of its electricity comes from nuclear power, giving it some of the lowest carbon emissions per capita in Europe. Yet in the United States, nuclear energy has largely been sidelined in favor of wind and solar—technologies that are intermittent at best. Why are we so eager to embrace technologies that we know are unreliable, while ignoring one that has proven its worth for decades?

The Biden administration's ambitious goal of making half of all new vehicles sold by 2030 zero-emissions might sound impressive on paper, but the infrastructure tells a different story. As of 2024, there are approximately 140,000 public EV charging stations in the U.S. Studies suggest that the country will need at least 500,000 to meet the projected demand by 2030. Moreover, the majority of EV charging still happens at home, with residential power that, in many cases, is derived from fossil fuels. The costs of EVs also make them unattainable for many; with the average price hovering around $55,000, EVs are still a luxury that many working-class families simply cannot afford. While we dream of reducing emissions, we also need to ask ourselves if we are creating an economy of energy haves and have-nots. Are we really fighting for a better world if only the wealthy can afford to participate?

California’s recent experience serves as a cautionary tale. In its enthusiasm for green energy, the state faced severe rolling blackouts in 2023. The problem? An overreliance on renewable energy without adequate backup from reliable fossil fuels or nuclear power. Policymakers forgot a crucial element in their rush to appease environmental activists: energy must be available when people need it. Blackouts in the fifth-largest economy in the world are hardly a sign of progress. Instead, they serve as a stark reminder of what happens when ideology trumps practicality.

The reality is that the transition to green energy cannot be rushed without causing major disruptions. Even the International Energy Agency, which is hardly a cheerleader for fossil fuels, acknowledges that oil, gas, and even coal will be necessary components of the global energy mix for decades to come. As of 2023, over 80% of global energy still comes from fossil fuels, and this figure will not drop substantially without both technological breakthroughs and realistic timelines. Fossil fuels are not just an evil to be eradicated; they are a crucial part of our energy strategy. And until renewable sources can provide the same reliability and scalability, we need to keep fossil fuels in the picture.

The Biden administration and other leaders must recognize that our energy future will not be built on exclusion but on integration. We need fossil fuels to support the growth of renewables, not only because they provide stability but because they are still the most efficient way to power heavy industries, shipping, and aviation. The world’s shipping fleets and airplanes cannot run on batteries, at least not for many decades. Ignoring these realities in favor of appeasing environmentalist groups is not just impractical—it’s dangerous.

The dream of a purely green future is compelling, but it must be grounded in reality. What we need is not an ideological crusade but a balanced, pragmatic energy policy. The future is not about choosing between fossil fuels and green technologies but finding a way for them to coexist, collaborate, and evolve together. To borrow an old proverb, "Don't throw the baby out with the bathwater." In our rush to embrace the new, let's not forget the old still has value. The solution lies not in driving blindly towards a single ideal but in recognizing that the road is wide enough for multiple lanes.

So perhaps, instead of a green utopia, what we really need is a practical one—a future where energy is reliable, affordable, and yes, greener. Let’s not fool ourselves into thinking that we can power a modern world with wishful thinking. If we keep pretending that windmills and solar panels are all we need, we may just end up like Don Quixote, tilting at windmills, chasing a dream that was never really there.

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