Thursday, October 5, 2023

The Maverick Effect: Confidence Guides Trump Through Legal and Political Challenges

 


Donald Trump can only be halted by politics, not the law, as his unconventional approach will otherwise continue to serve as a potent weapon in both the political and legal arenas. Both Ms. Letitia James and Mr. Jack Smith must recognize this simple fact and invest their time in a more productive endeavor, like pursuing the prosecution of the criminals causing havoc in New York and Washington.

As a fellow Republican, I share the sentiments of many who were troubled by the events that transpired at the United States Capitol on January 6, 2021. It is crucial to acknowledge that the resolution to the issues surrounding Donald Trump lies not solely within the confines of the law but also within the realm of politics. Both Ms. Letitia James and Mr. Jack Smith must come to terms with this reality.

Upon reading the recent criminal indictment against Donald Trump, one cannot help but experience a potent mixture of emotions. These include a sense of bewilderment, dismay, and exhaustion, particularly when confronted with the sheer volume and absurdity of his claims regarding the 2020 election. Yet, amid these emotions, an unexpected sentiment arises: nostalgia. It harks back to a time when American politics appeared far more stable.

In an unprecedented political test not witnessed since the Civil War, the center and even the right maintained their ground. Remarkably, figures within the White House, including Mr. Trump's own vice-president, Mike Pence, displayed resistance to his actions. Kevin McCarthy, the former Republican House leader, openly attributed responsibility to Mr. Trump for the Capitol attack by "mob rioters." This reflection offers a glimmer of hope when viewed in retrospect.

Even more encouragingly, in states like Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, lesser-known Republican officials upheld their integrity, acting independently and rebuffing the entreaties and threats of a president they once supported. Lee Chatfield, the Michigan House speaker, illustrated this point with his statement that although he had a strong desire for Trump to win, he also held a deep love for our republic. He expressed his inability to comprehend the idea of endangering America’s established norms, traditions, and institutions, expressing concern that such a course of action could result in a permanent loss of our nation.

Fast-forwarding three years, it is evident that Mr. Trump has consolidated a stronger position, presenting a plausible route back to the White House. This isn't despite his efforts to challenge the previous election but rather because of them. He has unwaveringly clung to his sometimes illogical and baseless arguments and beliefs, relying on his ability to exploit the less noble aspects of human nature. Even before Mr. Jack Smith, the special counsel investigating Mr. Trump, announced the new charges, Mr. McCarthy was already attempting to discredit them, framing them as an attempt by Joe Biden to "weaponize government."

In response to the indictment, Jesse Watters, who replaced Tucker Carlson at Fox News, characterized it as a politically motivated scheme, echoing Mr. Trump's talking points. Mr. Trump argues that the prosecution is politically corrupt, that his claims are protected by the Bill of Rights as free speech, and that he was not lying because he genuinely believed the election was stolen—an assertion he still maintains. He may only need to convince one juror of his belief, drawing upon his past success in selling questionable products. His actions are already eroding faith in the law, much as he eroded faith in the electoral system.

Mr. Trump's political strategy and legal strategy are intrinsically intertwined, reinforcing each other by perpetuating delusions that resonate with a significant portion of the Republican base. Polls indicate that many Republicans share these beliefs, including the idea that Mr. Trump is a victim of a conspiracy aimed at preserving the privileges of entrenched elites against his insurgent politics. His ascent within the Republican ranks began after his initial indictment on business-fraud charges in Manhattan (I actually wrote an article about it in the past).

The growing number of felony counts against him—currently standing at 78 with the potential for more—are depleting his campaign funds. However, Democrats may be overly optimistic in hoping that these charges will distract him from the campaign trail. In 2024, the Trump trials are poised to become a central focus, drawing attention to him and his message of unwavering defiance in the face of perceived persecution.

A natural question to ask at this point is this: What might break this spell? A conviction could potentially shake even some Republican confidence in Mr. Trump's suitability for office. Yet, as has been the case since his political ascent began, the most effective safeguard against his return to the White House would be for other Republican leaders to emulate the honesty demonstrated by those state officials after the 2020 election.

Some of Mr. Trump's less likely rivals for the Republican nomination have already voiced their belief that the indictment demonstrates his unfitness for office. Mr. Pence firmly stated that anyone who places themselves above the Constitution should not hold the presidency of the United States. Despite this, some individuals have either aligned themselves with or tried to downplay the significance of the accusations. For instance, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis opted to contest the supposed interconnected power structures that were allegedly suppressing Mr. Trump. He advocated for systemic changes that would allow Americans to move cases from Washington to their own "home districts."

The Real Deal

Both Republicans and Democrats have fallen into a common trap, hoping that the legal system would ultimately be the remedy to halt the influence of Mr. Trump. A glaring example of this was seen after the shocking attack on the U.S. Capitol, when Mitch McConnell, who was then, as he is now, the Senate Republican leader, publicly held Mr. Trump "practically and morally responsible" for the events that transpired. However, when it came to the critical moment of voting on the impeachment charge of inciting an insurrection, McConnell opted to acquit Mr. Trump, arguing that the matter should be left for the justice system to address. This decision proved to be fateful, as it essentially amounted to outsourcing the problem of Donald Trump's impact on American democracy to the legal process.

The truth has remained that this outsourcing strategy has had far-reaching consequences. Rather than diminishing his influence, it has paradoxically exposed more American institutions to Mr. Trump's influential and political power. By placing faith in the legal system alone, both Republicans and Democrats may have inadvertently allowed Mr. Trump to continue wielding his significant political sway, unburdened by the consequences of his actions. As a result, both the Democrats and the Republicans will continue to face the challenge of finding more comprehensive and effective means to address the complex issues posed by a figure who transcends conventional political boundaries and tests the resilience of democratic institutions.

Democrats also face a challenging responsibility. They should match the Republicans' fervor by calling for a thorough examination of Hunter Biden's business ventures. Thus far, no credible evidence has come to light indicating that President Biden personally benefited from his son's leveraging of the family name. It's crucial to underscore that there is no ethical equivalence between Hunter Biden's questionable influence activities, or the appearance thereof, and Mr. Trump's efforts to undermine democratic processes. However, overlooking Hunter Biden's questionable conduct and downplaying any potential legal infractions inadvertently advances Mr. Trump's agenda by eroding public trust in the impartial administration of justice.

In essence, Democrats find themselves in a delicate position where they must demonstrate their commitment to transparency and accountability. By actively pursuing a rigorous investigation into Hunter Biden's business dealings, they can not only uphold their own standards of integrity but also strengthen the broader perception of fairness within the legal system. It is essential for both parties to prioritize the rule of law and maintain public confidence in the impartiality of investigations, regardless of political affiliation, to ensure the continued health and vitality of American democracy.

On August 1st, Mr. Smith's succinct message to the public served as a poignant reminder of the vulnerabilities exposed during the harrowing events of January 6th. It highlighted the courageous efforts of law-enforcement officials who valiantly safeguarded the foundations of American democracy. In his statement, Mr. Smith emphasized how these dedicated individuals defended not only physical institutions but also the fundamental principles that define the United States as a nation. Their unwavering commitment was a testament to the resilience and strength of American democracy, even in the face of unprecedented challenges.

Both Ms. Letitia James and Mr. Jack Smith should acknowledge the undeniable truth embedded in the fact that Donald Trump can only be halted by politics, not the law. Specifically, they must recognize that Mr. Smith's statement transcends the events of January 6th, as it highlights an ongoing struggle for upholding the rule of law in the United States. This principle, essential to democracy, currently faces its own array of challenges. At this crucial juncture, the duty of preserving and fortifying the rule of law falls squarely within the realm of politics. It is through the political process that the nation must navigate the intricate landscape of safeguarding democratic values and institutions. The rule of law serves as a crucial foundation of American society, and safeguarding and strengthening it necessitates united political efforts to ensure it remains a cornerstone upon which the nation can continue to prosper and progress.

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