Sunday, July 28, 2024

Blame Ghani, Not Biden: The True Cause of Afghanistan's Collapse

 


Former Afghan President Ashraf Ghani's sudden flight from the country with millions of dollars in cash left a power vacuum and demoralized the Afghan forces, leading to their rapid surrender and the swift takeover by the Taliban.

The United States' withdrawal from Afghanistan in 2021 has been a contentious topic, with significant blame directed at President Joe Biden for the chaotic exit. However, a more nuanced analysis suggests that criticism should not solely fall on Biden but also consider the broader context and actions of Afghan leadership and military forces. As a Republican, I recognize the importance of approaching the United States' withdrawal from Afghanistan with a balanced perspective. The realities on the ground indicate that the blame lies more with Afghan leadership and its military than with the Biden administration, for several reasons.

First, exiting a conflict zone like Afghanistan, where local forces lack the will to defend their own country, is a challenging task. It is worth pointing out here that from 2002 until August 30, 2021, the United States invested over $141 billion in Afghanistan's reconstruction and more than $83 billion in training and equipping the Afghan National Defense and Security Forces (ANDSF). Despite this substantial support, the Afghan military collapsed almost immediately after the U.S. withdrawal, failing to stand up to the Taliban forces.

The actions of former Afghan President Ashraf Ghani are a critical point of failure. On August 15, 2021, as the Taliban closed in on Kabul, Ghani fled the country, reportedly with millions of dollars in cash, abandoning his people and government. His sudden departure left a power vacuum and demoralized the Afghan forces, leading to their rapid surrender. Ghani's abdication of responsibility was a significant betrayal, one that cannot be overlooked when assigning blame for the collapse of Afghanistan.

Contrast this with the response of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy when Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022. Zelenskyy remained in Kyiv, rallying his nation and its military to defend their homeland against a much larger and more powerful adversary. The Ukrainian forces, inspired by their president's resolve, have shown remarkable courage and determination, gaining international admiration and support. This stark difference in leadership highlights the impact of a nation's resolve to defend itself.

The situation in Afghanistan was compounded by decades of instability and corruption. Following the Soviet withdrawal in 1989 and the subsequent civil war, Afghanistan was left in ruins, leading to the rise of the Taliban in the mid-1990s. The U.S.-led invasion in 2001 ousted the Taliban but did not address the underlying issues of governance and corruption. Despite efforts to build a stable government, Afghanistan remained plagued by inefficiency and graft, which undermined any progress made.

The financial cost of the Afghan war for the United States was staggering. According to the Costs of War project at Brown University, the total cost of the war, including interest payments on borrowed funds, is estimated to be over $2 trillion. This enormous expenditure underscores the significant investment made by the U.S. in trying to stabilize Afghanistan. Despite these efforts, the lack of effective Afghan leadership rendered these investments largely ineffective.

The rapid disintegration of the ANDSF was a direct result of poor leadership and lack of motivation. Despite being well-equipped and trained, Afghan soldiers were not willing to fight for their country. Reports indicate that widespread corruption within the ANDSF, including ghost soldiers and embezzlement of funds, further weakened the military's capability and morale. When faced with the Taliban, many Afghan soldiers abandoned their posts or surrendered without a fight.

The Taliban's resurgence was not merely a result of the U.S. withdrawal but also a well-coordinated campaign. They exploited the weaknesses of the Afghan government and military, strategically taking over rural areas and gradually encircling major cities. By the time U.S. forces withdrew, the Taliban were well-positioned to take control quickly. Their swift advance was met with little resistance, highlighting the Afghan military's lack of preparedness and resolve.

While President Biden's handling of the withdrawal has been criticized for its execution, it is essential to recognize that the seeds of Afghanistan's collapse were sown long before his administration. The failure of Afghan leadership, coupled with endemic corruption and a lack of will among the Afghan military, were the primary causes of the rapid fall of Kabul.

In plain terms, it is vital to place the blame for the disaster in Afghanistan where it truly belongs: on the shoulders of Afghan leaders like Ashraf Ghani and the ANDSF. Their failure to take responsibility and defend their nation is the real tragedy of the Afghanistan conflict. As Republicans, we must focus on learning from these lessons and ensuring that future foreign policy decisions are informed by the realities on the ground, rather than partisan politics.

 

 

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