Tuesday, February 6, 2024

Targeting the Source: Why Iran, Not Just Houthis, Must Face Accountability in Yemen

 


The United States, in targeting the Houthis, is merely trimming the branches of a poisonous tree whose roots are firmly planted in Iranian soil.

In the complex web of Middle Eastern geopolitics, Yemen stands  out as a glaring example of proxy warfare, where external influences exacerbate internal strife. Central to this conflict is the role of Iran, particularly in its support of the Houthi rebels. The United States, under the Biden administration, has been actively engaged in military actions against the Houthis, especially in response to their attacks on commercial vessels and U.S. interests. However, a critical analysis suggests that targeting the Houthis alone may be a misdirected strategy, one that punishes the symptoms rather than addressing the root cause – Iran's involvement in the region.

The recent actions by U.S. Central Command forces are a testament to this ongoing conflict. On Monday, February 5, 2024, they conducted a self-defense strike against two Houthi explosive uncrewed surface vehicles in Yemen. This was a part of a broader strategy to counter the growing tensions in the Middle East, tensions that have caught the attention of the U.N. Security Council. These strikes, executed with the support of allies like Australia, Bahrain, Canada, and Denmark, were a direct response to the Houthi-controlled military targets, which had been engaging in attacks in the Red Sea.

The United States has been launching these attacks since January 11, in response to the Iran-backed militia's aggression in key maritime areas like the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden. These attacks coincide with Israel's conflict with Hamas, another Iran-supported militia. The Houthis, asserting solidarity with the Palestinian people, have escalated their offensive, prompting the U.S. to take defensive actions aimed at degrading the rebels' capabilities. This situation has not only aggravated tensions in Yemen but also led to escalated strikes on U.S. military personnel in Iraq and Syria by Iran-backed groups, drawing further international attention and concern.

Amidst these developments, the U.N. Security Council's emergency meeting, along with the statements by U.N. Political Affairs chief Rosemary DiCarlo, highlighted the risks of escalation and miscalculation in the region. DiCarlo's report of near-daily incidents, including significant attacks on U.S. facilities, underscores the volatile nature of the situation. The U.S. response, characterized by Deputy Permanent Representative Robert Wood as "necessary and proportional," aimed at targeting command and control operations and other critical sites linked to Iran-backed militias. President Joe Biden's administration has emphasized that these strikes, while robust, are not indicative of a desire for increased conflict in the Middle East.

However, the critical issue at hand is the indirect approach the U.S. is taking in addressing the conflict. By focusing primarily on the Houthis, the U.S. is, in effect, dealing with the visible manifestations of a much deeper problem. Iran, as the benefactor and supporter of the Houthis, represents the 'snake-head' in this scenario. Their involvement in Yemen is part of a broader strategy to extend their influence in the region and to challenge U.S. and allied interests. By empowering the Houthis, Iran has created a proxy force that can act on its behalf, complicating direct engagement and allowing for a degree of deniability.

The situation thus demands a recalibration of the U.S. strategy. While it is undeniably important to counter the immediate threats the Houthis pose, particularly to ensure the safety and security of navigation in key waterways like the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden, this focus represents only a partial solution. The Biden administration must confront the reality that by exclusively targeting the Houthis, they are inadvertently penalizing them for the 'sins' of Iran - their main benefactor and the puppeteer in the shadows. This misplaced accountability, akin to treating the symptoms while ignoring the disease, may offer temporary relief through short-term tactical gains, but it fails to grapple with the deeper, more insidious issue: Iran's expansive regional ambitions and its role in fueling the conflict. By limiting their actions to the Houthi rebels, the U.S. overlooks the broader strategic challenge presented by Iran's determination to extend its influence across the Middle East. This myopic view risks perpetuating the cycle of conflict, allowing Iran to continue its destabilizing activities under the guise of proxy warfare. To effectively neutralize this threat, the U.S. strategy needs to evolve into a more comprehensive plan that not only addresses the immediate dangers posed by the Houthis but also curtails Iran's capacity to wage proxy wars, thereby fostering long-term stability in the region.

In essence, the Biden administration should strategically realign its focus towards the primary instigator, Iran. Rather than limiting their military strikes to the Houthi rebels, the U.S. should consider launching direct and robust strikes against Iran, particularly targeting the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and other critical facets of Iran's military establishment and oil installations. This approach is grounded in the belief that Iran, through its support and funding of the Houthis, is the principal architect behind the continuous attacks and instability in the region. Therefore, the U.S. response should be more assertive, aiming to incapacitate the primary source of support to the Houthis, which is believed to be Iran's military capabilities. By doing so, the Biden administration could effectively disrupt the supply chain and support network that empowers the Houthi rebels, thereby mitigating the threat they pose.

It is worth pointing out that this recommendation for a direct confrontation with Iran's military structures, including the IRGC, is a significant escalation from the current U.S. strategy. The rationale behind this approach is that only by weakening Iran's capacity to project power through proxy groups can the cycle of violence and instability in Yemen and the broader Middle East be halted. Such a strategy would not only aim to reduce the operational capabilities of the Houthis but also serve as a deterrent to Iran's broader regional ambitions. The ultimate goal of this approach is to establish a more stable and secure environment in the Middle East, free from the disruptions caused by proxy warfare and regional power struggles.

 

 

 

 

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