Monday, November 13, 2023

Congresswoman Talib, Iran, Hezbollah, and Others: Do Not Underestimate President Biden

 

 

Though I am a Republican, I still hold this belief: Yes, President Biden may be old, but, believe me, that old dog can still hunt effectively. His experience and determination are undeniable; he will pose a significant challenge for Trump in the 2024 election.

Three-quarters of the public believe that Joe Biden is too old to serve another term, a sentiment shared by 69% of Democrats as well. While it is widely acknowledged that President Biden is indeed advanced in age, his political strength remains undeniable. Despite initial doubts, those who underestimated him in the past are now nursing their wounds.

One prime example of such underestimation comes from Russian President Vladimir Putin, who presumed that Biden's age and perceived weakness would hinder his ability to respond effectively. This miscalculation led to Putin's ill-fated invasion of Ukraine during Biden's presidency. The consequences have been severe for Putin, with President Biden providing crucial military aid to Ukraine and rallying the European Union's support for the beleaguered nation. Consequently, Ukraine has proven to be a formidable opponent, contradicting Putin's expectations of a swift victory and instead creating ongoing challenges for Russia on the battlefield. Furthermore, President Biden has displayed the courage to publicly label Putin as a war criminal, a stance that many find valid.

Even within the United States, some underestimated Joe Biden's political acumen, including former President Trump and some of my fellow Republicans during the 2020 election. Despite these doubts, Joe Biden emerged victorious, securing his position as the 46th President of the United States. This serves as a reminder that underestimating the capabilities of seasoned politicians can lead to unexpected outcomes in the realm of politics.

The public's perception of President Biden's age and ability to serve another term reflects the ongoing debate about age in politics. While age can be a legitimate concern, it should not overshadow a leader's experience, competence, and effectiveness. President Biden's tenure has demonstrated that age alone does not determine one's ability to lead effectively. His extensive political career and accomplishments have shaped his approach to governance, allowing him to navigate complex challenges with poise and experience.

Turning our attention back to the international stage, President Biden's handling of the Ukraine crisis underscores his diplomatic prowess. By providing critical military aid to Ukraine and garnering international support, he has proven that age should not be equated with weakness. His leadership has contributed to Ukraine's resilience in the face of Russian aggression, challenging Putin's expectations and highlighting the importance of not underestimating a leader based solely on age.

Searchlights and Sunglasses

In plain terms, I am genuinely surprised when I hear Congresswoman Rashida Tlaib and her clique attempting to exert pressure on President Biden, contending that they will withhold their support in the upcoming 2024 election due to his stance on Israel. This move underscores the complex and often contentious relationship between American politicians and the Middle East. Tensions surrounding the Israeli-Palestinian conflict have long been a divisive issue in U.S. politics, with different factions within Congress holding varying views on how to approach the matter. I am aware that Congresswoman Rashida Tlaib and her clique are already conscious of the fact that age has become one of the problems Biden's opponents are using against him, and they are also pointing to the poll numbers. They are essentially saying, "The polls are indicating that you won't win, and you will need the votes of our political block to defy what the polls are predicting. So, you better withdraw your support for Israel, or else." However, as the 2024 election looms on the horizon, it remains to be seen how these dynamics will shape the political landscape and whether President Biden can navigate this challenging terrain to secure the backing of his party and the nation as a whole.

Speaking of poll numbers, some of my fellow Republicans and even some Democrats often refer to these statistics, claiming that Trump is currently leading Biden in the polls within key battleground states such as Nevada, Georgia, Arizona, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. The only state where Biden secured a win is Wisconsin, while Trump emerged victorious in Nevada, Georgia, Arizona, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. However, it is important to recognize that poll numbers are not always reliable indicators of election outcomes. One significant issue is our limited understanding of how pollsters gather their data; we lack insight into their sampling frames and whether they employ proper randomization methods.

Moreover, the 2016 presidential election serves as a stark reminder of the unreliability of polls. Despite poll numbers consistently favoring Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump ultimately defeated the Democratic former Secretary of State. This historical precedent underscores the inherent unpredictability of elections, regardless of what the polls might suggest. In fact, Democrats have consistently prevailed in special elections, despite unfavorable poll numbers. Even in 2022, when dire predictions were widespread, the Democrats emerged victorious. Now, as we witness the same trend in 2023, it becomes evident that placing excessive reliance on polls may be unwise. Therefore, despite the current panic-inducing predictions surrounding Biden's prospects, the landscape could shift dramatically come 2024.

Those who underestimate President Biden's capabilities are indeed making a significant mistake. Despite his age, he still possesses the qualities of a seasoned political warrior who can effectively contest in an election. This should also serve as a warning to Ali Khamenei and other Iranian leaders who might be underestimating Biden's potential actions. Without delving into lengthy explanations, it is crucial for Iran and its proxies, including Hezbollah in Lebanon, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), and the Houthi rebels in Yemen, to tread carefully. Biden might not hesitate to order strikes on Iran if they continue to support their proxies' attacks on Israel during the Israel-Hamas conflict.

As long as President Biden remains resolute, ignores distractions from figures like Congresswoman Rashida Tlaib and her group, and maintains his support for Ukraine, Taiwan, and Israel, he will retain his position as a potent political force. Additionally, addressing issues such as the U.S. border and relations with Iran is of paramount importance. By staying the course and even collaborating with Republicans on matters like the budget and immigration, he can foster bipartisan cooperation and bring benefits to the majority of people. For instance, if securing aid for Ukraine and Israel necessitates tightening the southern border, such a move would be politically astute and wise governance, ultimately enhancing his prospects in the 2024 election.

Some may wonder why I'm expressing these thoughts, especially as someone who identifies as a Republican. The answer is straightforward: I believe I've discerned certain factors that my fellow Republicans might be overlooking. Despite the criticisms often directed at President Biden due to his age, it is evident to me that he still possesses latent energy and skills. Consequently, it would be imprudent to assume that Republican candidates, even including Mr. Trump, will secure an easy victory in the 2024 election based solely on Biden's age and prevailing poll numbers. Instead, I foresee an election characterized by intense competition, with an uncertain outcome hanging in the balance.

It is essential to clarify that I harbor no animosity towards Mr. Trump. As a Republican, I actively supported him and cast my vote for him in the previous presidential election. Nonetheless, it would be a grave miscalculation if he entertains the notion of effortlessly defeating Biden in 2024. The political landscape is fluid, and any assumptions of an unequivocal victory may not align with the complex reality of a fiercely contested electoral battle.

Without putting it in so many words, my intention is not to downplay Mr. Trump's capabilities or question his appeal to the Republican base. Rather, I wish to underscore the importance of prudence and recognition of the inherent unpredictability in politics. The forthcoming 2024 election is likely to be a hard-fought contest, and underestimating any candidate, including President Biden, could potentially prove to be a strategic misstep for the Republican Party.

 

 

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