Friday, April 28, 2023

Medication Overload: Breaking the Pill-Popping Cycle

 


The current medical paradigm in America and Europe is centered around keeping people hooked on medication, rather than helping them kick the habit. It is as if doctors are incentivized to continuously write prescriptions, rather than focusing on preventative care or holistic wellness.

 

It seems like some patients are carrying a whole pharmacy in their pockets these days. Just take into account the following scenario: Dr. Juanita Williams (her name has been changed to protect her anonymity), worked as a pharmacist in a large hospital in Adelaide, and she frequently witnessed patients feeling overwhelmed by the quantity of medications they used on a daily basis. She made the observation that such patients frequently report to her that they take so many medications that their bones basically rattle as they walk is one of the side effects. In addition, she was concerned that some of the medications that these patients were taking did not appear to be doing any good and may perhaps be doing  damages on their bodies.

Patients, like Dr. Williams' patients, don't stand out, at least not among those living in wealthy countries. It is estimated that approximately 15% of the population in England takes five or more prescription medications on a daily basis. As do 20% of those aged 40 to 79 in both the United States and Canada. The quantity of medicines that a person takes typically increases with age due to the fact that older people tend to be sicker. Two thirds of elderly people in the United States take at least five different medications on a daily basis. A quarter of people over the age of 65 in Canada take ten or more.

Not all of those medications are in the patients' best interest. The majority of older Canadians, or 50%, take at least one that is improper in some way. After conducting an investigation into the practice of overprescribing in England in 2021, researchers came to the conclusion that at least 10% of prescriptions that were filled by general practitioners, pharmacists, and other medical professionals probably should not have been filled. And even medicines that are prescribed correctly can have unwanted side effects. The more medicine a person consumes, the greater side effects they will feel from those medicines.

The use of many medications at the same time by a patient to treat their illnesses is referred to as polypharmacy, and it can have a significant negative impact on a person's overall health. According to the findings of a recent study conducted at a hospital in Liverpool, adverse medication reactions are responsible for approximately one in every five hospital admissions. According to the evidence that has been released, the excessive use of medications in the United States could result in about 150,000 premature deaths and 4.5 million admissions to hospitals between the years 2020 and 2030.

Getting people to stop using  medicines or drugs is an uncharted territory for today's medical systems, which are primarily designed to prescribe medication to their patients. On the other hand, that is starting to change. De-prescribing networks are being organized by medical professionals such as physicians, pharmacists, and nurses in an effort to disseminate the necessary information in that regard. (Dr. Williams, who is currently teaching at Monash University in Melbourne, is in charge of the one that is administered in Australia.) In 2021, the National Health Service of England unveiled a proposal to cut down on inappropriately prescribed medications. The previous year saw the first ever international conference on the subject, which took place in Denmark.

Patients are burdened in multiple ways by taking an excessive amount of medication. One is the sheer amount of work that goes into the logistics.  People get the impression that their entire life are determined by the prescriptions they take. The more drugs a someone consumes, the greater the likelihood that some of those drugs may be consumed in an improper manner. Other issues can be explained more simply by medical conditions. Certain individuals wind up having to take multiple medications, each of which affects the same biological route. Anticholinergics are a good illustration of this type of drug because they inhibit the function of the neurotransmitter acetylcholine. This mechanism of action is shared by a number of medications, such as some anti-allergy medicines, anti-incontinence meds, and tricyclic antidepressants. However, according to Dr. Williams, physicians are not always aware of that fact.

 

Breaking the Cycle

 

That might lead to overdose. Anticholinergic drug abuse can severely inhibit acetylcholine, rendering patients unconscious or confused. Such effects are frequently mistakenly attributed to aging or disease. According to scholarly study, it will be able to correct the misdiagnosis of some diseases (such as dementia) by eliminating hazardous medicines.

From a medical perspective, excessive prescription may start to reinforce itself. Serotonin, another neurotransmitter, is blocked by a number of widely used medications. Overdosing can result in tremors, sleeplessness, and jerky arm and leg movements. These signs are frequently confused for Parkinson's symptoms. As a result, Parkinson's medications are added, creating a prescribing cascade. These can then lead to delirium and low blood pressure, both of which are naturally treated with further medications.

The issues can overlap in other ways. It is more likely that some medications will interact negatively the more pills a person consumes. Pharmacy technicians scan reference databases for harmful medication interactions. But since clinical studies typically only evaluate one medicine at a time, knowledge is constrained. When various medications are filled at separate pharmacies, pharmacists are unable to detect dangerous combinations. Additionally, anything purchased over the counter is entirely invisible.

The aged, whose bodies are less effective at metabolizing medicines, experience all these symptoms in even greater intensity. For instance, taking sleeping drugs the night before could leave a child feeling groggy the next day. They can produce brain fog in elderly people, which makes doing daily chores impossible. Finding the proper dose is challenging for the obvious reason that elderly individuals are typically not included in clinical trials for new medications.

For a variety of reasons, medication overload continues. One is overselling the advantages of drugs in advertising, especially in America. Another is the absence of standard personal health records. Therefore, it is feasible for a doctor to prescribe medication for a patient, let's say a cardiologist, without knowing what medication the doctor treating his lungs may have prescribed.

The most frequent cause may be that patients either forget or are not instructed when to cease taking a medication. One in five Americans who receive the powerful painkiller gabapentin after surgery continue to take it 90 days later (the recommended duration is four weeks). Other doctors frequently automatically renew prescriptions because they see them in a patient's notes and presume they ought to be kept.

Many medical professionals assume that patients are not particularly motivated to discontinue taking their medications. That is likely incorrect; according to research from various nations, eight out of ten patients are willing to stop taking a medication if their doctor recommends it. But those medical professionals have their own issues. There is little funding for de-prescribing investigations. Drug companies, who often sponsor clinical studies, have little interest in participating.

Nevertheless, evidence concerning the best course of action is beginning to accumulate. In Canada, brochures have been created to assist patients in weaning themselves off of a variety of popular medications. They detail various options, such as cognitive behavioral therapy in place of sleeping medications for insomnia, among other things. Trials show they are effective.

In recent years, automated de-prescribing tools and recommendations for various medications have also been created. Medsafer, one of these electronic tools, boosted the proportion of hospital patients for whom medications were deprescribed from 30% to 55%, according to numerous studies. Another technique is the Drug Burden Index, which totals the cumulative dosages of medications with sedative or anticholinergic effects.

In other words, a medical movement is only getting started. It might have a significant influence. In 2021, Keith Ridge, England's top pharmaceutical official, made an amusing yet poignant contrast. If the health authorities can only get this right, he claims, millions of people's health may be improved—equal to a new "blockbuster" drug—due to the fact that well over a billion products are dispensed annually.

Overprescribing medicines is like throwing pills at a problem in hopes that one of them will stick. The problem is that this method could cause patients to take too many medicines, which could lead them to take even more medicines to treat side effects from other medicines. Because of this, it is important for doctors to find a new way to treat patients that puts an emphasis on lowering the number of  medicines drugs they take.

 

 

 

 

Notes

 

Bortolotti, J. (2023). One in Four Canadian Seniors on 10 or More Prescription Drugs. Retrieved from Hospital News: https://hospitalnews.com/one-in-four-canadian-seniors-on-10-or-more-prescription-drugs/

Department of Health and Social Care. (2021, September 22). Government Pledges to Reduce Overprescribing of Medicines. Retrieved from UK Government Press Release: https://www.gov.uk/government/news/government-pledges-to-reduce-overprescribing-of-medicines

Gregory, A. (2021, September 21). Government Review Finds 10% of Drugs Dispensed in England Are Pointless. Retrieved from The Guardian: https://www.theguardian.com/society/2021/sep/22/government-review-finds-10-of-drugs-dispensed-in-england-are-pointless

Hales, C. M., Servais, J., Martin, C. B., & Kohen, D. (2019). Prescription Drug Use Among Adults Aged 40–79 in the United States and Canada. Data Brief , Center for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Health Statistics . Retrieved April 28, 2023, from Center for Disease Control and Prevention: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/databriefs/db347-h.pdf

Hayward, E. (2021, September 21). Doctors Are Urged to Issue Fewer Prescriptions as it Emerges 15% of Adults Take Five or More Medications Every Day. Retrieved from Daily Mail: https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10014917/Doctors-urged-issue-fewer-prescriptions.html

Health Policy Institute. (2023). Prescription Drugs. Retrieved from George Town University's Health Policy Institute: https://hpi.georgetown.edu/rxdrugs/

Masnoon, N., Shakib, S., Kalisch-Ellett, L., & Caughey , G. E. (2017). What is Polypharmacy? A Systematic Review of Definitions. BMC Geriatrics, 17(230). doi:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12877-017-0621-2

McPherson, M., Ji, H., Hunt , J., Ranger , R., & Gula, C. (2012). Medication Use among Canadian Seniors. Healthcare Quarterly, 15(4), 15-18.

O'Connell, J., Burke, E., Mulryan, N., O'Dwyer, C., Donegan, C., McCallion, P., . . . O'Dwyer , M. (2018). Drug Burden Index to Define the Burden of Medicines in Older Adults With Intellectual Disabilities: An Observational CrossSectional Study. British Journal of Clinical Pharmacology, 84(3), 553–567.

Odense Deprescribing Initiative . (2022, September 5-7). 1st International Conference on Deprescribing. Retrieved from https://www.conferencemanager.dk/icod2022

Perri, G., Bortolussi-Courval, E., Brinton, C. D., Berall, A., Santiago, A. T., Morcos, M., . . . McDonald, E. G. (2022). MedSafer to Support Deprescribing for Residents of Long-Term Care: a Mixed-Methods Study. Canadian Geriatrics Journal, 25(2), 175-182.

The Economics. (2023, April 26). Overprescribing Drugs: Too Many People Take Too Many Pills. Retrieved from https://www.economist.com/science-and-technology/2023/04/26/too-many-people-take-too-many-pills

 

 

Wednesday, April 26, 2023

The Rise of Artificial Intelligence: An Apocalypse or Just Another Job Killer?

 


 There is a growing fear that artificial intelligence could pose a threat not just to jobs, but also to factual accuracy, reputations, and even the very existence of humanity, which calls for striking a balance between safety and innovation in regulating AI.

 

Because artificial intelligence (AI) is getting better so quickly, worries about its possible risks have spread like flames. When people think about AI becoming the Frankenstein's monster of the 21st century, it gives them the chills. It's like we're walking on a tightrope, and if we make a mistake, it could lead to a lot of unexpected things. Simply put, the rise of artificial intelligence (AI) has caused a lot of worry and raised a red flag about possible risks in the future. It's like a time bomb that could go off at any time and make our lives a mess.

Should we get rid of all jobs, even the ones that make us happy? Should we make minds that aren't human, which might outnumber, better, and replace us? Should we risk letting our society get out of our hands? In an open letter sent out last month by the NGO Future of Life Institute, these questions were asked. It asked that the most advanced types of artificial intelligence (AI) be put on pause for six months. Elon Musk and other big names in tech signed the letter, and it is the best example yet of how fast growth in artificial intelligence has made people worry about how dangerous it could be.

In particular, new large language models (LLMS), like the ones that run chatGPT, a chatbot made by a startup called OpenAI, have surprised even their creators with skills they didn't expect. These emergent skills include everything from being able to solve logic puzzles and write computer code to being able to tell what a movie is about from an emoji story summary.

These models could change how people interact with computers and machines, with information, and even with themselves. AI supporters say that it could help solve big problems by making new drugs, creating new materials to help fight climate change, or figuring out how to make fusion power work. Others think that the fact that AIS can do things its makers don't fully understand risks bringing to life the science-fiction disaster scenario of a machine that outsmarts its creator, which usually ends in death.

It is difficult to balance the opportunities and hazards because of the seething mixture of enthusiasm and anxiety that is currently present. However, there are things that can be picked up from other industries as well as previous transitions in technological paradigms. So, what exactly has evolved to make artificial intelligence so much more capable? How frightened should you really be? And what actions should be taken by governments?

Numerous published pieces of evidence have investigated the inner workings of LLMS as well as their plans for the future. When the initial wave of sophisticated AI systems arrived a decade ago, they were dependent on data for training that had been meticulously labeled. They might learn to do things like recognize photos or transcribe speech after being shown a sufficient number of instances that had labels attached to them. Modern systems do not need to be pre-labeled in order to be trained, and as a result, they are able to utilize far larger data sets that are acquired from internet sources. In practice, LLMS can be educated on the entirety of the internet, which explains their powers, both positive and negative.

The release of chatGPT in November brought to the attention of a more general audience the possibilities that were previously hidden. Within a week, one million individuals had used it, and within two months, 100 million people had used it. It wasn't long before it was being put to use in the generation of school essays and wedding speeches. The success of chatGPT and Microsoft's decision to integrate it into Bing, the company's search engine, inspired other companies to develop and distribute chatbots of their own.

The outcomes of several of these were really peculiar. For instance, Bing Chat advised a journalist that he should separate from his wife and start a new life somewhere. A law professor has leveled the accusation of slander against ChatGPT. LLMS generate answers that have the appearance of being factual but frequently include inaccuracies or blatant fabrications of the facts. Despite this, technology companies including as Microsoft, Google, and others have begun incorporating LLMS into their products in order to assist customers in the process of creating documents and carrying out other tasks.

The recent surge in the power and visibility of artificial intelligence systems, as well as the rising awareness of their capabilities and flaws, have stoked fears that the technology is now progressing at such a rapid pace that it will be impossible to govern in a secure manner. As a result, there has been a call for a pause, and there is growing fear that artificial intelligence could pose a threat not just to jobs, but also to factual accuracy and reputations, and even to the very existence of humanity.

Regulating AI: Striking a Balance Between Safety and Innovation

 

The worry that robots will take over jobs goes back hundreds of years. But so far, new technologies have created more jobs than they have taken away. Some jobs can be done by machines, but not others. This means that there is more demand for people who can do the jobs that machines can't do. Could it be different this time? Even though there have been no signs of a quick change in the job market so far, it is still possible. Before, technology tended to take over jobs that didn't require much skill, but LLMS can do some white-collar jobs, like summarizing papers and writing code.

There has been a lot of talk about how much AI poses a grave risk. Experts don't agree. In a poll of AI researchers done in 2022, 48% said that there was at least a 10% chance that the effects of AI would be extremely bad (like the end of humanity). But 25% of researchers said there was no risk, and the median researcher said the risk was 5%. The worst case scenario is that a very smart AI does a lot of damage by making poisons or bugs or by getting people to do terrorist acts. It doesn't have to be bad, but experts worry that future AIs might have goals that are different from those of the people who made them.

Such possibilities shouldn't be ruled out. But they all require a lot of guessing and a big jump from what we know now. Many people think that in the future, AIs will have unrestricted access to energy, money, and computer power, which are real limits today and could be taken away from an AI that goes bad. Also, when compared to other analysts, experts tend to exaggerate the risks in their own area. (And Mr. Musk, who is starting his own AI company, has a reason to want his competitors to fail.) Heavy rules or even a pause seem like an overreaction right now. A pause would also be impossible to enforce anyway.

Regulation is important, but not because it will save humanity. Concerns about bias, privacy, and intellectual property rights are real when it comes to AI systems that are already in use. As technology gets better, it might become clear that there are other problems. The key is to weigh the benefits of AI against the risks and be ready to change.

So far, three different ways have been taken by states. On one end of the spectrum is Britain, which wants to use a light-touch method that doesn't add any new rules or regulatory bodies but does make sure that AI systems follow the rules that are already in place. The goal is to get more people to invest and make Britain a superpower in AI. The United States has taken a similar method, but the Biden administration is now asking the public what a set of rules might look like.

The EU is getting stricter. Its suggested law puts different uses of AI into categories based on how risky they are. As the risk goes up, from, say, recommending music to self-driving cars, stricter monitoring and disclosure are needed. Some uses of AI, like subliminal ads and biometrics that can be done from far away, are outlawed. Companies that break the rules will have to pay a fine. Some critics say that these rules are too restrictive.

But some people say we need to be even tougher. Governments should treat AI like drugs, with a dedicated regulator, strict testing, and pre-approval before it can be used by the public. China is doing some of this by making companies register their AI goods and go through a security review before putting them on the market. But in China, politics may be a bigger reason than safety. For instance, one of the most important requirements in China is that Ais' work represent the core value of socialism.

How  should our society and governments  react to this new trend? It's unclear that a light touch will be enough. If AI is as important as cars, planes, and medicines—and there are good reasons to think it is—then it will need new rules, just like they did. So, the EU's model is the one that comes closest, even though its classification system is too complicated and a method based on principles would be more flexible. Requiring inspections and requiring disclosure about how systems are taught, how they work, and how they are monitored would be like rules in other industries.

This could make it possible, if needed, to make the rules stricter over time. Then, a dedicated regulator might seem like a good idea, as might international treaties like the ones that rule nuclear weapons, if there is good evidence of an existential risk. To keep an eye on this risk, governments could set up an organization like CERN (in French Conseil Européen pour la Recherche Nucléaire), a particle physics lab, that could also study AI safety and ethics—areas where companies don't have as many reasons to spend as society would like.

This strong technology brings new risks, but it also gives us a lot of amazing chances. To balance the two, the world have to be careful. Taking things slowly now can lay the groundwork for more rules to be added in the future. But now is the time to start building these foundations.

 

Notes

 

Agomuoh, F. (2023, February 13). Check Your Inbox — Microsoft Just Sent Out the First Wave of ChatGPT Bing Invites. Retrieved from Digital Trends: https://www.digitaltrends.com/computing/bing-users-will-be-able-to-test-out-the-integrated-chatgpt/

CERN. (2023). About CERN. Retrieved from https://home.cern/about

Future of Life Institute. (2023, March 22). Pause Giant AI Experiments: An Open Letter. Retrieved from https://futureoflife.org/open-letter/pause-giant-ai-experiments/

Grace, K. (2022, August 4). What Do ML Researchers Think About AI in 2022? Retrieved from AI Impacts: https://aiimpacts.org/what-do-ml-researchers-think-about-ai-in-2022/

Hu, K. (2023, February 2). ChatGPT Sets Record for Fastest-Growing User Base - Analyst Note. Retrieved from Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/technology/chatgpt-sets-record-fastest-growing-user-base-analyst-note-2023-02-01/

Huang, R. (2023, April 11). China Moves to Censor AI. Retrieved from The Wall Street Journal: https://www.wsj.com/articles/china-lays-out-strict-rules-for-chatgpt-like-ai-tools-32f70c89

Milmo, D. (2023, February 2). ChatGPT Reaches 100 Million Users Two Months After Launch. Retrieved from The Guardian: https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2023/feb/02/chatgpt-100-million-users-open-ai-fastest-growing-app

Noorden, R. V. (2022). How Language-Generation AIs Could Transform Science. Nature, 605(7808). doi:10.1038/d41586-022-01191-3. PMID: 35484343.

O'Brien, M. (2023, March 29). Musk, Scientists Call for Halt to AI Race Sparked by ChatGPT. Retrieved from AP News: https://apnews.com/article/artificial-intelligence-chatgpt-risks-petition-elon-musk-steve-wozniak-534f0298d6304687ed080a5119a69962

The Economist. (2023, April 20). Technology and Society: How to Worry Wisely About Artificial Intelligence. Retrieved from https://www.economist.com/leaders/2023/04/20/how-to-worry-wisely-about-artificial-intelligence

 

 

Tuesday, April 25, 2023

Parting Ways: The Exit of Tucker Carlson

 

Fox News is like a ship that sails through stormy political waters - sometimes they have to throw a few passengers overboard to keep the ship afloat.

 

One can actually compare Fox News to a revolving door for hosts - one minute the revered host is the thorn in the side of Democrats, the next minute they are getting kicked to the curb faster than a cat with its tail on fire. Six years ago, the most popular cable TV host had a show on Fox News during prime time. He was loud, had strong opinions, and made a lot of noise. This made him a pain for two Democratic governments. Liberals hated him, and conservatives watched him talk about things like political correctness and other liberal dogmas. But after the New York Times reported that Fox had paid $13 million to settle lawsuits from five women who said he had sexually harassed them or acted inappropriately, and after more than 50 advertisers dropped his show, the network threw Bill O'Reilly out on the street. Mr. O'Reilly has always denied the accusations against him.

History doesn't repeat itself, but it sometimes sounds like it did before. Fox fired Tucker Carlson on April 24. This was almost six years to the day after it fired Bill O'Reilly. Carlson is currently the most popular show on cable TV. He also angers liberals and enjoys making fun of everything "woke," which is the new word for political correctness. Fox is also being sued by one of Tucker Carlson's former editors, Abby Grossberg, who says that the network and Mr. Carlson's staff are sexist and anti-Semitic. Fox strongly denies these claims.

Mr. Carlson has never been a typical nationalist. His stepmother is the owner of a fortune in frozen foods, and he has a home studio in Maine, where he has spent every summer of his life. In the beginning of his career, he worked at the left-leaning PBS and MSNBC. Mr. O'Reilly acted like the guy next to you at a bar when he was angry, while Mr. Carlson's blue blazers, repp ties, and confident tone made him seem like the epitome of an old-school, establishment East Coast Republican.

That species is just as rare as the blue whale, and Mr. Carlson's political ideas are much more complicated and hard-edged. He has praised Hungary's authoritarian leader Viktor Orban, like many on the new right. He has said that Democrats want to replace the current voters with new, more obedient ones from the Third World. This is an idea that the hard right likes. He has minimized and skewed the attack on the Capitol by Trump fans on January 6, 2021, by showing edited video and saying the rioters were meek tourists. And he always backed Mr. Trump. Just two weeks ago, he did a full show with an interview with him.

But when he was alone, he didn't feel nearly as good about Mr. Trump. Just two days before the riot in the Capitol, he sent a text to his manager in which he said he hated Trump very much. Mr. Carlson says that the former president's best skill is ruining things. He said that Trump is the undisputed world champion of that kind of power and that, if America plays it wrong, he could easily destroy the country. He told another coworker that their TV station is almost at the point where they can ignore Trump most nights, and he can't wait for that to happen.  Mr. Carlson also said some interesting things about how Fox is run. He said that the people in charge of the TV station are hurting its reputation. It's not clear yet if these kinds of comments made him leave.

 

Severed Heads: Fox News Cleaning House

These texts came out as part of a defamation case filed by Dominion Voting Systems. This company makes voting machines that Fox hosts and guests falsely said switched votes and were easy to hack. Fox decided to pay $787.5 million to settle the case on April 18, just as the trial was about to start. This was one of the largest payouts for defamation ever.

Some people see Mr. Carlson's abrupt departure—he and his executive producer Justin Wells, who is also leaving, didn't know about it until Monday morning—as a tacit admission of wrongdoing, meant to reassure investors and stop an advertising exodus like the one that hit Mr. O'Reilly's show before it happened. Just a few days earlier, Fox fired Dan Bongino, another host who backed Trump. Maybe Fox is cleaning house and needs a couple of severed heads to remind its workers of the difference between pandering to its base, which both Fox and MSNBC's partisan political shows do often, and actually defaming people or companies that could sue. Maybe it had something to do with Ms. Grossberg's case.

Whatever the reason, Mr. Carlson's exit, like Mr. O'Reilly's, shows that Fox News is not tied to its stars, even though it may help them become famous. When their actions get too expensive or embarrassing, they are kicked out, no matter how much it costs. For example, when the news came out, Fox's stock dropped sharply, but the company's choice to fire Carlson was final, no matter what. But leftists and other Democrats who are always happy when something like this happens can also learn something from this one too. They danced on the grave of Mr. O'Reilly, and Mr. Carlson popped up to take his place. They may be happy about Mr. Carlson leaving today, but Fox News is still going strong. It's still the most-watched cable network in the country, and new competitors on the left  haven't been able to beat it. Fox won't have to look for long to find someone else to get its fans excited and continue to make liberals in America mad.

 

 

Notes

 

Darcy, O., & Cohen, M. (2023, April 25). Tucker Carlson out at Fox News. Retrieved from CNN Business: https://www.cnn.com/2023/04/24/media/tucker-carlson-fox-news/index.html

Folkenflik, D., & Yang, M. (2023, April 18). Fox News Settles Blockbuster Defamation Lawsuit With Dominion Voting Systems. Retrieved from NPR: https://www.npr.org/2023/04/18/1170339114/fox-news-settles-blockbuster-defamation-lawsuit-with-dominion-voting-systems

Garber, M. (2017, April 19). Why Was Bill O'Reilly Really Fired? Retrieved from The Atlantic: https://www.theatlantic.com/news/archive/2017/04/why-was-bill-oreilly-really-fired/523614/

Jamerson, S. (2022, May 23). Fox News host Tucker Carlson has a dangerous friend in Hungary’s Viktor Orban. Retrieved from Media Matters: https://www.mediamatters.org/tucker-carlson/fox-news-host-tucker-carlson-has-dangerous-friend-hungarys-viktor-orban

Joyella, M. (2023, April 21). Dan Bongino Said Leaving Fox News Would Lead To Conspiracy Theories. He Was Right. Retrieved from Forbes: https://www.forbes.com/sites/markjoyella/2023/04/21/dan-bongino-said-leaving-fox-news-would-lead-to-conspiracy-theories-he-was-right/?sh=7bc408f679ce

Rabinowitz , H., Lybrand, H., & Cohen, M. (2023, March 8). What to Know About the Tucker Carlson January 6 Footage. Retrieved from CNN Politics: https://www.cnn.com/2023/03/06/politics/tucker-carlson-january-6-footage/index.html

Rizzo, L. (2023, April 24). Tucker Carlson Leaves Fox News in Wake of Dominion Defamation Settlement. Retrieved from CNBC: https://www.cnbc.com/2023/04/24/tucker-carlson-leaves-fox-news-in-wake-of-dominion-defamation-settlement.html

The Economist. (2023, April 24). All Tuckered out. Retrieved from https://www.economist.com/united-states/2023/04/24/fox-news-shows-that-not-even-tucker-carlson-is-bigger-than-the-network

 

 

 


Sunday, April 23, 2023

As Sudan Explodes: Revealing the Hidden Realities of the Current War in Sudan

 

The world is gradually becoming  a powder keg, with constant wars in Sudan and elsewhere serving as the spark that could ignite the explosive mixture


Seeing the bloodshed in Sudan is like seeing a game of Quidditch go horribly wrong. Simply put, in Sudan, the rules of war are no more important than the rules of Quidditch, a game based on the Harry Potter books in which players can use force against each other to try to get the Quaffle or stop other players from scoring a goal. As two crazy generals fight for power, citizens have been killed, diplomats have been attacked, and patients have been kicked out of a hospital so that soldiers can use it as a fortress. The fight that started on April 15 could be the first step toward a full-scale civil war. But there's an even worse way to look at it. Sudan has been at war with itself for most of the time since it became independent in 1956. This week's chaos shows a worldwide problem that doesn't get enough attention: the length of war is getting longer.

During the middle of the 1980s, the average continuing conflict had been raging for approximately 13 years. By the year 2021, that number had increased to twenty. Since the Arab spring in 2011, a new wave of wars has begun, and the number of people who have been killed in battle has increased, going against a long-term trend toward greater global peace. It is difficult to get an accurate count of how many people have died. The majority of casualties are lost not in the course of the war itself but as a result of its aftereffects, which include increased hunger and a weakened immune system of the war refugees. It is estimated that 600,000 people lost their lives as a result of Ethiopia's recent crushing of the breakaway province of Tigray. This number is more than the number of deaths that occurred in Ukraine. Part of the reason for this is that the government barred aid to the starving victims of wars. In the past ten years, the number of people who have been compelled to flee from their homes has roughly doubled, reaching over 100 million worldwide. And even while the world's economy is growing, countries that are unlucky enough to experience war and violence quickly fall further and more behind.


Impunity Rules: Blood, Sweat, and Diamonds

One explanation for the lengthening of  wars and civil conflicts is that their complexity is increasing, making it more difficult to find lasting solutions to conflicts. The majority are internecine conflicts taking place in underdeveloped countries. In many cases, there are many factions of combatants, and peace can only be maintained if all of them are appeased. Between the years 2001 and 2010, around five nations per year were affected by two or more simultaneous conflicts; as of now, this number has increased to fifteen. There are dozens of armed factions in Myanmar and Congo. Not only that, it would be extremely challenging to bring peace to the two countries.  And the percentage of civil wars that include forces from other countries has increased by a factor of 12 since 1991, when it was first recorded. As a result of the lower costs that are incurred by foreign meddlers (their own cities are not destroyed), there is less of a motivation for them to negotiate peace for the warring countries.

Criminal activity is a further factor. Nearly all civil wars break out in countries plagued by corruption, which makes power an easy way to get fortune and encourages those without morals to kill for it. One of the feuding warlords in Sudan, for example, is said to have made a fortune trafficking gold and mercenaries, and the other warlord purportedly commands an army while also running a business empire. In the meantime, the globalization of criminal networks makes it simpler for rebel groups to traffic in illegal substances or to launder diamonds  that have been stolen.

The most worrisome element, on the other hand, is the earth's changing climate. Even while it does not directly cause war, the likelihood of it occurring is increased. Farmers who lose their land as a result of natural disasters like droughts or floods frequently relocate to areas that historically belonged to members of other ethnic groups. An NGO tallied 70 confrontations in just one region of Mali, the most of which were sparked by disagreements over land ownership and grazing rights. The Sahel is an arid expanse located below the Sahara desert. As a result of climate change, livelihoods have been severely affected in this region, making it easy for jihadist groups to attract new members. They promise that this will result in the recovery of their converts' pasture or farmland and make the promise of divine justice. There is currently a concentration of civil wars in nations that are hot and poor. As the temperature continues to get hotter, the belt of bloodshed that circles the equator will undoubtedly get broader.

In addition to all of these problems, there is currently a climate of impunity that exists. If Russia is able to decapitate captives and China is able to conduct crimes against humanity in Xinjiang, then lesser bullies may come to the conclusion that international law can be ignored without fear of repercussions. Undoubtedly, a great number of people are flouting  international laws, from the blood-stained savannas of Burkina Faso to the dungeons of torture in Syria. The United States of America is preoccupied by a competition between superpowers, and the United Nations is hampered by the vetoes of both Moscow and Beijing. Even if outsiders could conceive of a feasible means to decrypt Sudan's government, those massive resources that are currently being used to protect Ukraine will never be used to decrypt Sudan's government.

 

The Long Road

It's hard to make peace, but it's not impossible. On the short term, it is often best to start unofficial talks long before both sides are ready to talk publicly. That approach worked in Northern Ireland and South Africa.  Peace agreements seem to last longer when more women and civil-society groups are involved, and communication via videoconferencing means that they don't have to take dangerous trips to be there. Sometimes it's also important to include awful people in the peace-making exercise, or else they might go back to fighting. Justice and peace can sometimes be at odds with each other in a painful way. The first one says that war criminals should go to jail, while the second one might say that they should get jobs in the cabinet. Lastly, because every conflict is different and there is no one way to make peace that works everywhere, it is good to try different peace-making strategies. Donors who wanted to help rebuild Liberia after the war, for instance,  gave money to many different projects. It turned out that making the cops less aggressive made people less likely to rebel.

Long-term, the most important things to do to support peace are to help weak states build better institutions and to stop climate change and help people adapt to it. These are big jobs that could take decades to finish. But the alternative is a world where people live short lives in hot, poor places and wars last for a long time.

 

 

Notes

Britannica. (2023). Arab Spring Pro-Democracy Protests. Retrieved from https://www.britannica.com/event/Arab-Spring

Cornell College. (n.d.). Quidditch Rules. Retrieved from https://www.cornellcollege.edu/intramurals/PDFs/Quidditch%20Rules.pdf%20for%20IM.pdf

Evans , M. S., & Munslow, B. (2021). Climate Change, Health, and Conflict in Africa’s Arc of Instability. Perspect Public Health, 141(6), 338–341.

Harding, A. (2023, April 20). Sudan Fighting: Why it Matters to Countries Dorldwide. Retrieved from BBC News: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-65338247

Pilling , D., & Schipani , A. (2023, Janusry 15). War in Tigray May Have Killed 600,000 People, Peace Mediator Says. Retrieved from Financial Times: https://www.ft.com/content/2f385e95-0899-403a-9e3b-ed8c24adf4e7

Rumpf-Whitten, S. (2023). President Biden Calls Civil War in Sudan 'Unconscionable' as US Embassy Personnel Evacuate. Retrieved from Fox News: https://www.foxnews.com/world/president-biden-calls-civil-war-sudan-unconscionable-us-embassy-personnel-evacuate

The Economist. (2023, April 19). The Curse of Civil War. Retrieved from https://www.economist.com/leaders/2023/04/19/in-sudan-and-beyond-the-trend-towards-global-peace-has-been-reversed

Thibault, F. B. (2023, April 21). What Role Do Outside Players Have in the War in Sudan? Retrieved from Aljazeera: https://www.aljazeera.com/program/inside-story/2023/4/21/what-role-do-outside-players-have-in-the-war-in-sudan

 

 

Saturday, April 22, 2023

Medicalized Gender Transitions: The Rise of a New Pandemic?

 


 Getting gender transition treatments is like driving down a rough road while blindfolded and not being able to see where you're going. This makes many people feel lost and unable to find their way back. The world governments need to take a break and figure out where we are before going further down this uncertain road – especially given that many people who have gone through the procedure are now struggling with depression and making the hard decision to de-transition.

 

Are the doctors that perform gender transition treatments truly saving lives or destroying the fabric of our society? Are gender transitions the new pandemic? As far as I can tell, COVID-19 still hold the title for pandemic. The truth, however, is that this current surge in gender dysphoria is not just a coincidence. And, it appears as if the new pandemic in town is gender transitions.

Simply put, the issue of gender-affirming and gender transition care for teens is far from simple. On one side, there are people who say it's a treatment for people with gender confusion that can save their lives. On the other hand, some people say that doctors are taking advantage of weak teens by basically "grooming" them to undergo the treatment. The hype will make your head spin! But don't worry, dear readers, because I'll look into this difficult subject and try to figure out the politics that is going on here.

We begin with this scenario: Betha Clay (the name has been changed to protect her privacy) was 17 when she was given testosterone for the first time in a clinic in California. She had told her parents that she was a boy, so the doctors gave her testosterone. The whole drama began after she was sexually assaulted when she was a teen, and she started having some trouble with anorexia and sadness. Chelsea Botha (her real name has been changed to protect her privacy) is a 16-year old who live with her parents in Virginia.  She had both breasts taken off because she felt that she was supposed to be a boy. Brittany Davidson (whose name was changed to protect privacy) was a year younger when she had a double mastectomy in California. She had been taking testosterone and drugs to stop puberty since she was 13. This was also after she was sexually assaulted.

All three girls had gender dysphoria, which is a feeling of being very uncomfortable in their own bodies. Once a rare diagnosis, the number of people who claimed they suffer from it has grown a lot in the last ten years. Since 2011 to 2022, about seventeen times as many teens in England and Wales have gone to the  Gender Identity Development Service (GIDS), which is the main clinic for treating dysphoria, for help (see Table 1). According to the available published evidence, more than 42,000 American children and teens were diagnosed in 2021, which is three times as many as in 2017. Rich countries like Australia and Sweden have also seen their numbers grow quickly.

 

Table 1

U.K.: Referrals to the Tavistock Gender-Identity Clinic

 

Year

Number of Teenagers (Approximately)

2011

102

2013

333

2015

750

2017

2,000

2019

2,801

2021

2,400

2022

3,500

 

Source: Culled from The Economist, 2023

As the number of cases has grown, so has a treatment method called gender-affirming care that was first used in the Netherlands. It involves letting patients know how they feel when they complain that their body and sense of self don't match up. After a psychological evaluation, some patients are given a mix of drugs that stop puberty, hormones that make them feel like the opposite sex, and sometimes surgery to try to make them feel better. As was reported in The Economist, a news magazine, around 5,000 teenagers in the U.S. were given puberty-blockers or cross-sex hormones in 2021. This is twice as many as in 2017.

 

From Gender Reassignment to Gender Regret

The treatment has drawn a lot of criticism. It has become yet another front in the culture wars in a lot of different countries, but especially in the United States of America. In an effort to support transgender persons, many Democrats characterize critics of gender-affirming care as uncaring individuals who neglect the great anguish and even suicides that often occur among adolescents who suffer from gender dysphoria. Meanwhile, the Republicans and other critics on the right accuse physicians of being so intent on encouraging gender transitions, and  that they  basically groom vulnerable youngsters (which is a phrase that is typically used to refer to sexual predators of children) to undergo the treatment. During a conference of the American Academy of Pediatrics in October 2022, those in favor of gender-affirming care and those opposed to it staged heated demonstrations against each other. Several states in the United States, including Florida and Utah, have enacted legislation that makes it illegal to provide gender-affirming care to minors. Such regulations have been regarded as "close to sinful" by America's President Joe Biden.

Many well-respected medical professionals in the United States stand for gender-affirming care. While people in Britain, Finland, France, Norway, and Sweden are in favor of talk therapy as a first step in the treatment process, they have reservations about the pharmacological and surgical components of the treatment. According to the findings of a review conducted in Finland and released in the year 2020, gender reassignment in youngsters should be considered "experimental," and treatment should only rarely go beyond talk therapy. The Swedish authorities came to the conclusion that the risks of using physical treatments currently outweigh the possible benefits and that these procedures should only be used in extraordinary circumstances. An evaluation that was conducted in the United Kingdom and was led by a pediatrician named Hilary Cass discovered that gender-affirming care had developed without some of the regular quality controls that are typically performed when new or innovative therapies are introduced. The National Academy of Medicine of France issued a warning to medical professionals in 2022, instructing them to proceed with medications and surgery only with great medical caution and the greatest reserve.

Without a shadow of a doubt, there are a great number of children and parents that are aching to receive assistance with gender dysphoria. Some people believe that the physiological components of gender-affirming therapy were the treatments that ultimately saved their lives. In spite of that, the harsh reality is that many patients emerge from the gender-transition treatment wounded and scared. Ms. Betha Clay, Ms. Chelsea Botha, and Ms. Brittany Davidson are all considered "detransitioners," which means that they no longer wish to be perceived as male and are bitterly regretting  their new  gender identity. They are furious with their doctors, who, according to them, hurried them into the therapy, and they regret the irreparable results of the treatment they received. Brittany Davidson believes that she was basically "butchered" by the health departments and institutions that she had trusted, and that she is a victim of institutionalized violence.

The treatment regimen that was created in the 1980s and 1990s with the purpose of transitioning youngsters has its origins in the Netherlands. It is supported by three main components: puberty-blockers (also known as GnRH antagonists), cross-sex hormones, and surgical procedures. The mental suffering of the patient was intended to be alleviated by changing the patient's body in such a way that it more closely matched their perception of their cross-sex identity. The experiences of some of the first patients were detailed in a pair of publications authored by Annelou de Vries, who was a pioneer in the development of the Dutch protocol. These studies were published in 2011 and 2014. They came to the conclusion that patients who used puberty-blockers had fewer symptoms of sadness, and that gender dysphoria "resolved" and psychological functioning steadily improved after receiving cross-sex drugs and surgery. Yet that conclusion may be based on a small sample size or a short time of follow-up, and there may be risks and side effects that come with using puberty-blockers, cross-sex drugs, and surgery.

 

One-Way Ticket or a Round Trip?

Puberty-blockers are exactly what their names imply that they will do. It is hypothesized that giving patients time to reflect on their dysphoria and decide whether or not they want to pursue more extreme treatments may be beneficial if the puberty-blockers temporarily halt the development of undesirable sexual characteristics. The central precocious puberty condition, in which puberty occurs at an extremely young age, is treated with medications from the same family. In some nations, they are also used as a method of chemical castration for sexual offenders. The use of puberty-blockers in gender medicine is considered off-label, which means that they do not have regulatory permission for that purpose. This is similar to the situation with many other drugs that are administered to children.

Patients who have made the decision to continue with their transition are subsequently given hormones that are specific to their new gender. In males, the development of breasts and changes in the manner in which fat is stored on the body are likely to occur. When administered to women, testosterone causes irreversible changes such as a deepening of the voice, a change in the bone structure of the face, and the growth of facial hair. In addition, testosterone causes an increase in muscle growth.

However, as demonstrated by the cases of Ms. Brittany Davidson and Ms. Chelsea Botha, there are some locations in which mastectomies are performed on patients who are younger than the age of 18, contrary to the initial protocol that was established in the Netherlands. Patients of any gender have the option of receiving breast implants. On minors, more complex treatments such as those in which girls have a mimicked penis fashioned from a tube of skin extracted from the forearm or the thigh, or in which males have an artificial vagina made in a penile inversion, are carried out only very infrequently. These procedures are reserved for adults.

The National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE), a British organization that evaluates the scientific rationale behind medical treatments, conducted an investigation into puberty-blocking medications and cross-sex hormones in the year 2020. The scholarly evidence that it uncovered was a black hole, where any hope for support for the procedure was sucked in and basically disappeared with out a treace. According to its findings, puberty-blocking medication had minimal effect on the individuals. It is possible that cross-sex hormones will improve mental health, but the likelihood of this happening is low, and NICE has warned of the unknown dangers of adverse consequences that people that received the procedure will endure.

NICE noted that the quality of the papers it reviewed in that area was very low - for both categories of drugs - and this is the organization's lowest rating possible. Some of the studies presented their findings without making any attempt to evaluate them statistically for significance. Even though cross-sex hormones are a medication that must be continued for the rest of a gender transitioner's life, the follow-up period was just one to six years long. The majority of studies merely followed one group of patients who were given the medications, rather than comparing them to another group of patients who were not given the drugs. Because these studies lacked a control group, the researchers were unable to determine whether the events that occurred to the patients in the studies were due to the medicines, to other treatments that the patients might have been getting (such as counseling or antidepressants), or to some other factor that was unrelated to the first two possibilities.

As a result, it might be challenging to determine whether any alleged effects—positive or negative—reported in the studies are, in fact, true. Reviews in Sweden and Finland reached comparable conclusions. The finding of the Swedish study that there is little scientific justification for hormone treatments that prevent puberty is a dagger in the heart of the proponents for gender variety.

The science underlying teenage transitions has also been examined by two American professional organizations, the Endocrine Society (ES) and the World Professional Association for Transgender Health (WPATH). However, ES's review did not aim to investigate whether gender-affirming care reduced gender dysphoria or in any other way enhanced mental health. Instead, it concentrated on the negative impacts, for which it claimed that there was scant support. But the review is now "fundamentally flawed" due to this omission. For their part, WPATH did research the psychological impacts of hormones and blockers. It discovered little and weak evidence. Despite these findings, both groups maintain that their studies and the subsequent recommendations are reliable and continue to advocate physical therapy for gender dysphoria.

One argument in favor of puberty-delaying medications is that they buy time for kids to make up their minds about using transgender hormones or not. However, the statistics collected to date from clinics indicate that the majority of patients choose to proceed. Published evidence has revealed that as much as 98% of adolescents who are taken blockers go on to use cross-sex hormones. Similar high figures have been noted in other places.

The comforting explanation is that blockers are being carefully administered and only given to people whose dysphoria is ingrained and unlikely to improve. The worrying aspect of puberty-blockers is that at least some youngsters are forced to continue receiving treatment. Hannah Barnes, a British journalist who wrote the new book "Time to Think" about GIDS, quotes British healthcare professionals who are worried about the latter scenario. Patients allegedly obtained blockers following brief and superficial assessments.

The Dutch researchers consider both theories and conclude that the majority of persons who start using puberty-blockers likely have long-lasting gender dysphoria. They said that it was impossible to rule out the potential that beginning puberty-blockers increases adolescent likelihood of continuing medical transition.

The biggest unknown is perhaps how many patients who have the medications and surgery  and who ultimately changed  their minds. These individuals in this group have chosen to "detransition," having made peace with their biological sex. Those who do frequently experience new pain as they adjust to lasting and obvious changes to their bodies.

Again, good data are hard to come by. One issue is that people who give up on a transition are likely to stop communicating with their doctors, which causes them to vanish from the statistics. The few estimates that do exist differ by at least an order of magnitude or more. Detransition rates as low as 1% have been recorded in several studies. However, three articles that examined patients in the British and American military forces and were published in 2021 and 2022 discovered that between 7% and 30% of them discontinued treatment after a short period of time.

The initial Dutch investigations, which were published in 2011 and 2014, followed the same group of patients throughout their treatments because they were longitudinal studies. Three recent analyses that were published in the Journal of Sex and Marital Therapy, as was reported in the news magazine The Economist, find issues with the studies' data.

The limited size of the original samples is one of the issues with the new investigations. The 2011 study examined 70 patients. However, only 32 to 55 of them had a known treatment outcome (the precise number varies depending on the measure). Even though, the final evaluation of results took place about 18 months following surgery, which is a fairly brief amount of time for a procedure whose consequences will endure a lifetime. Longer observation was given to the initial patient, "FG". Researchers noted his feelings of shame about his genital appearance and inadequacy in sexual matters in 2011 when he was in his mid-30s. But a decade later, things were better, and FG had a steady girlfriend.

The criticisms further contend that the observation that gender dysphoria improved with treatment may have been a product of the evaluation procedures used on the subjects. Before beginning therapy, female patients were asked to affirm or refute statements like, "Every time someone treats me like a girl, I feel hurt." This confirmed their desire to be perceived as men. The same people had surgery, hormone therapy, and blocker therapy before answering questions on a scale designed for men. It had phrases like "Every time someone treats me like a boy I feel hurt." Patients who desired to be perceived as men naturally disagreed. In essence, the yardstick was altered in a way that might be seen as increasing the likelihood of successful results.

Last but not least, it appears that the initial studies unintentionally cherry-picked the individuals who responded best to the medication. Starting with 111 adolescents, the researchers later dropped those whose puberty-blocking medication did not work out effectively. Of the remaining 70, some were left out of the analysis because they failed to complete questionnaires, refused outright to do so, stopped receiving care, or, in one instance, passed away as a result of complications following genital surgery. Therefore, the data may have specifically omitted individuals who experienced injury from or were unsatisfied with their treatment.

Dr. de Vries insists that the original studies demonstrated a considerable improvement in gender dysphoria, the disorder the procedure was intended to treat, in a rebuttal article that was published in the same journal. Even while she acknowledges that altering assessment scales is not ideal, she insists that this does not suggest that the study's findings were incorrectly measured. Concerns about the relatively brief follow-up were addressed by her statement that a study reporting longer-term results is scheduled to be published in the following years.

Since then, other recent longitudinal studies have been published, although they also have limitations. Teenagers treated with cross-sex hormones for two years were the focus of one study, which Diane Chen of Northwestern University and colleagues published in January's New England Journal of Medicine. On a scale that ranges from 0 to 100, participants did frequently report improvements in their mental health, but they were typically modest—mostly single-digit gains. There was no control group in the study. Out of 315 patients, two died by suicide.

Regardless of the merits of the Dutch team's initial research, the patients seen in contemporary clinics today are noticeably different from those who were evaluated in their articles. Twenty years ago, prepubescent boys made up the majority of patients; lately, teenage girls have taken over.  The results of earlier studies might not be relevant to patients today.

The Dutch squad took a purposefully cautious approach. Gender dysphoria had to have affected the patients ever since they were children. Many patients today claim that they first experienced dysphoria as teenagers. According to the Dutch guideline, people who have mental health issues cannot receive therapy. However, three recent research examining patients in America, Australia, and Finland found that at least 70% of young people seeking treatment have mental health issues.

The guideline advises caution, although in practice, especially in America, it is frequently the case that transitions should be continued rather than stopped due to mental health difficulties. Americans are now warned that if they don't deal with the mental-health issues produced by young people's dysphoria with transition, they will commit suicide.

 

The Confusing Diagnosis Game

The official standards in the majority of countries, as well as the original protocol from the Netherlands, place an emphasis on the importance of careful screening and evaluations. However, there are continuous claims that the guideline is not being followed in practice, and this is the case regardless of the guidance. According to Ms. Betha Clay, she had one appointment that lasted 15 minutes before she was given testosterone.  A significant number of patients in the United States have reported receiving such cursory evaluations.

Recently, people started talking about the potential that many young people who present as trans could actually be gay instead. According to the findings of a study that was conducted in the Netherlands in 2011, almost all of the participants were attracted to people of the same or opposite gender to themselves. In 2019, a group of clinicians who had left from GIDS expressed their concerns about homophobia in some of their former patients and parents in an interview with the Times, a news magazine.  They were concerned that the clinic was, in fact, providing a new sort of conversion therapy for gay youngsters by changing children into simulacra of the opposite sex. This was the basis of their concern.

It might be true that the vast majority of practitioners in both the United States and other countries are merely attempting to alleviate the genuine pain of adolescents who are troubled by gender dysphoria. This might be the case regardless of where in the world they practice. However, in the United States of America in particular, the charged environment has made it exceedingly difficult to differentiate between scientific research and political debate.

The medical practices of European countries have not come to the conclusion that it is always inappropriate for a teenager to transition. They are not making any attempt to hide patients who are in distress. They have merely arrived at the conclusion that there is a need for additional research and data before physical treatments for gender dysphoria may become standard practice. It is possible that additional study will result in the development of guidelines that are comparable to those that have already been adopted by medical organizations in the United States. On the other hand, this is yet another way of expressing the idea that it is hard to support the existing recommendations about gender-affirming care on the basis of the data that is now available.

The bottom line is this: It's as clear as the sky on a bright summer day that we need to slow down on gender change treatments for the time being. Many people who have gone through the process are now struggling with depression and making the hard decision to detransition. This is a red flag that we can't ignore. Now is the time to put a lid on this pot until we have all the facts and evidence we need to make a well-informed choice. Let's not keep going down this bumpy road until we know where it goes.

 

 

 

Notes

Académie Nationale de Médecine. (2022, February 25). Communique: Medicine and Gender Transidentity in Children and Adolescents. Retrieved from https://www.academie-medecine.fr/la-medecine-face-a-la-transidentite-de-genre-chez-les-enfants-et-les-adolescents/?lang=en

Allen, C. (2022, March 11). Children's Gender Services Need Transformation - Review. Retrieved from BBC News: https://www.bbc.com/news/health-60698414

Barnes, H. (2023). Time to Think: The Inside Story of the Collapse of the Tavistock's Gender Service for Children. London, UK: Swift Press.

Biggs, M. (2022). The Dutch Protocol for Juvenile Transsexuals: Origins and Evidence. Retrieved from Journal of Sex & Marital Therapy: https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/0092623X.2022.2121238?scroll=top&needAccess=true&role=tab&aria-labelledby=full-article

Cohen , D., & Barnes, H. (2021, April 1). Evidence for Puberty Blockers Use Very Low, Says NICE. Retrieved from BBC Newsnight: https://www.bbc.com/news/health-56601386

Cohen-Kettenis, P. T., Sebastiaan E. E. Schagen, S. E., Steensma, T. D., de Vries, A. L., & Delemarre-van de Waal , H. A. (2011). Puberty Suppression in a Gender-Dysphoric Adolescent: A 22-Year Follow-Up. Archives of Sexual Behavior, 40, 843–847.

Conlin, M., Respaut, R., & Terhune, C. (2022, November 18). Youth in Transition. Retrieved from Reuters: Special Report: https://www.reuters.com/investigates/special-report/usa-transyouth-topsurgery/

de Vries, A. L., McGuire, J. K., Steensma, T. D., Wagenaar, E. C., Doreleijers, T. A., & Cohen-Kettenis, P. T. (2014). Young Adult Psychological Outcome After Puberty Suppression and Gender Reassignment. American Academy of Pediatrics, 134(4), 696–704.

Hembree, W. C., Cohen-Kettenis , P. T., Gooren, L., Hannema, S. E., Meyer, W. J., Murad, M. H., . . . T’Sjoen , G. G. (2017). Endocrine Treatment of Gender-Dysphoric/Gender-Incongruent Persons: An Endocrine Society Clinical Practice Guideline. The Journal of Clinical Endocrinology & Metabolism, 102(11), 3869–3903.

Henderson, E. (2023, February 23). Some Professionals Disagree on the Treatment for Gender Dysphoria in Young People. Retrieved from News Medical Life Sciences: https://www.news-medical.net/news/20230224/Some-professionals-disagree-on-the-treatment-for-gender-dysphoria-in-young-people.aspx

Kelleher, R. (2023, January 2). The Dutch Model is Falling Apart. Retrieved from Genspect: https://genspect.org/the-dutch-model-is-falling-apart/

Levine , S. B., & Abbruzzese , E. (2023). Current Concerns About Gender-Affirming Therapy in Adolescents. Current Sexual Health Reports. doi:https://doi.org/10.1007/s11930-023-00358-x

Liptak, K. (2023, March 13). Biden Says Efforts to Restrict Transgender Rights ‘Close to Sinful’. Retrieved from CNN Politics: https://www.cnn.com/2023/03/13/politics/joe-biden-daily-show-trans-rights/index.html

NBCU Academy. (2021, June 10). Why ‘Culture War’ Narratives Ignore Real Impact of Anti-trans Bills. Retrieved from https://nbcuacademy.com/sydney-bauer-trans-transgender-rights-media/

Respaut, R., & Terhune, C. (2022, October 6). Putting Numbers on the Rise in Children Seeking Gender Care. Retrieved from Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/investigates/special-report/usa-transyouth-data/#:~:text=In%202021%2C%20about%2042%2C000%20children,data%20Komodo%20compiled%20for%20Reuters.

The Economist. (2023, April 5). Briefing Trans Substantiation. Retrieved from https://www.economist.com/briefing/2023/04/05/the-evidence-to-support-medicalised-gender-transitions-in-adolescents-is-worryingly-weak

 

 

China’s Fiscal Band-Aid Won’t Stop the Bleeding When Trump’s Tariff Sword Strikes

  China's cautious stimulus is nothing but a financial fig leaf, barely hiding the inevitable collision course it faces with Trump's...