Put your belief that ChatGPT can help you win Mega Millions and Powerball into a box and shoot it; because AI can crunch the numbers, but it cannot bully Lady Luck.
I can already hear the sales pitch.
“Forget lucky birthdays. Forget fortune cookies. Forget
the old man at the gas station who swears 17 is hot this week. Artificial
intelligence has arrived. Ask ChatGPT for your Powerball numbers, buy the
ticket, and start shopping for the Lamborghini.”
Wonderful.
There is only one small problem: It is nonsense.
ChatGPT can write a poem about Powerball. It can explain
Powerball. It can calculate the odds of Powerball. It can generate Powerball
numbers. It can even give those numbers an impressive-looking explanation. What
it cannot do is see Wednesday night hiding inside Tuesday afternoon. That
little detail kills the entire fantasy.
Powerball currently asks players to choose 5 white-ball
numbers from 1 through 69 and 1 red Powerball from 1 through 26. A ticket costs
$2, and the official jackpot odds are approximately 1 in 292.2 million. Mega
Millions is hardly more charitable. Under the game introduced in 2025, a player
chooses 5 numbers from 1 through 70 and 1 Mega Ball from 1 through 24. A ticket
costs $5. The jackpot odds are 1 in 290,472,336.
Read that number again.
290,472,336.
That is not a typo.
That is mathematics standing at the door with a baseball
bat.
Yet AI has entered the lottery conversation because we
humans have an ancient weakness. We hate randomness. Randomness insults us. It
tells us that our intelligence, education, research, spreadsheets, algorithms,
dreams, birthdays, dead grandmother's favorite number and ChatGPT prompts may
have absolutely nothing to do with what happens next.
We don't like that.
So we invent patterns.
“Number 32 hasn't appeared lately.”
Fine.
“Number 7 is overdue.”
Says who?
“Look at the historical data.”
I am looking.
The historical data tells me what happened yesterday. The
lottery machine is interested in what happens tonight. That distinction is
everything. Mega Millions itself explains that its drawing machines and ball
sets are randomly selected, tested before drawings and certified by outside
auditors. The purpose is straightforward: each number is supposed to have an
equal chance of being drawn.
So imagine me walking into a convenience store carrying
my smartphone like Moses carrying the tablets.
“ChatGPT gave me the numbers.”
The cashier looks at me.
“So?”
“It analyzed them.”
He shrugs.
“That'll be $5.”
And there goes my money.
The machine does not care that my numbers came from
artificial intelligence. It does not care whether they came from Harvard, MIT,
NASA, ChatGPT, my grandmother or a chicken walking across numbered squares.
Random is random.
This is where the story becomes deliciously dangerous,
because there actually have been people who won substantial lottery prizes
after using ChatGPT-generated numbers. In 2025, Tammy Carvey of Michigan asked
ChatGPT for Powerball numbers. She played them. Her ticket matched 4 white
balls and the Powerball. The original prize was $50,000, and Power Play doubled
it to $100,000. Then there was Carrie Edwards of Virginia. She used numbers
suggested with ChatGPT's help and won $150,000 playing Powerball. Her story
became even more remarkable because she donated her winnings to charity.
There.
Case closed.
ChatGPT predicts lotteries.
Right?
Wrong.
This is exactly how coincidence puts on a necktie and
begins pretending to be science. Millions of lottery combinations are
purchased. Some are chosen from birthdays. Some come from Quick Pick. Some come
from dreams. Some come from family traditions. Some come from numbers on
license plates. And now some come from AI. Eventually, somebody using AI will
win something. That proves that the ticket won. It does not prove that AI
predicted the drawing. The difference is enormous.
Suppose I close my eyes, throw a dart at a wall covered
with numbers and use the numbers the dart hits. If I win $100,000, nobody
should conclude that darts have developed predictive intelligence. Yet put the
same random selection behind a glowing computer screen and suddenly we start
whispering about algorithms.
Welcome to the age of technological superstition.
The irony gets better. Mega Millions has its own
random-number generator. The official website will generate numbers for
players, and it explicitly says those selections are for entertainment
purposes. More importantly, Mega Millions says no method of choosing randomly
generated picks is better than another.
That sentence should be printed on a billboard.
AI cannot squeeze tomorrow's winning combination out of
yesterday's lottery results because properly conducted lottery drawings are
independent random events. If 23 appeared recently, that does not make 23
tired. If 41 has disappeared for weeks, 41 is not sitting backstage saying,
“Boss, I'm overdue.”
Numbers have no memory.
Balls have no ambition.
The Powerball does not suffer from fear of missing out (FOMO).
This is the gambler's fallacy wearing an AI costume. And
the jackpots themselves help feed the madness because they are enormous enough
to make common sense pack its bags.
Mega Millions' record jackpot reached $1.602 billion in
Florida on August 8, 2023. Other jackpots have exceeded $1 billion in South
Carolina, Michigan, Illinois, Maine, New Jersey and California. Once people see
$1 billion flashing above a convenience-store counter, mathematics starts
sounding like a party pooper.
“One ticket.”
Then another.
Then another.
“ChatGPT, analyze the last 100 drawings.”
Now we are cooking.
Except we aren't.
We are decorating randomness.
AI can find frequencies in past drawings. It can count
how often numbers appeared. It can identify so-called hot and cold numbers. It
can produce charts. It can calculate combinations. It can avoid commonly
selected birthday numbers. It can generate 20 tickets that look beautifully
balanced between odd and even numbers.
None of that makes the next random balls obey the
analysis.
That is the scam hiding inside some of the breathless
talk about AI lottery systems. The scam is not necessarily ChatGPT. ChatGPT is
merely a tool. The problem begins when people assign supernatural powers to
statistical analysis.
I can ask AI:
“Give me the most likely Powerball numbers.”
The intellectually responsible answer is boring. There
are no magic numbers. Every valid combination faces the same jackpot
probability in a fair drawing. That doesn't sell many “secret systems.”
So somebody adds fireworks.
“AI POWERBALL STRATEGY THEY DON'T WANT YOU TO KNOW!”
Now we're in business.
Add a photograph of a mansion.
Put a Lamborghini in the corner.
Throw dollar bills across the thumbnail.
Somewhere, mathematics is drinking alone.
Consider what happened in Ohio in 2026. A $60 million
Mega Millions jackpot was won with an auto-pick ticket. The winning numbers
were 4, 11, 18, 38, 50 and Mega Ball 24. The winner chose the $30 million cash
option.
The computer randomly picked the numbers.
No prophecy.
No secret prompt.
No 73-page AI strategy.
Just chance.
That is uncomfortable because chance cannot be monetized
as easily as hope.
Hope needs a system.
Hope needs a guru.
Hope needs an algorithm.
Hope needs somebody saying, “I have cracked the code.”
But the code has not been cracked.
If someone actually developed an AI system that could
reliably predict Powerball or Mega Millions, I doubt that person would be
selling the method for $19.99 on the Internet. I imagine the conversation
differently.
“Sir, how did you become a billionaire?”
“I predicted lotteries.”
“Can I buy your course?”
“No.”
“Can I subscribe to your newsletter?”
“No.”
“Can I see your prompt?”
“No.”
Then the billionaire disappears behind a gold-plated
door. That would make sense. Selling a supposedly reliable jackpot-prediction
system makes about as much sense as discovering an oil field under my backyard
and earning my fortune by selling maps to the backyard.
There is, however, one legitimate thing AI can do for
lottery players: It can help me understand the game. That matters. ChatGPT can
explain probability. It can calculate how much I am spending. It can show me
that buying more tickets increases my chances only by buying more combinations,
not by making any individual combination magically smarter. It can explain
lump-sum versus annuity payments. It can help me understand taxes. It can
generate random numbers for entertainment. It can even help me build a strict
lottery budget so entertainment does not quietly become financial self-harm.
Those are useful jobs.
Predicting the winning numbers is not one of them.
And there is another cruel joke buried here.
Powerball's overall odds of winning some prize are about
1 in 24.9, while the jackpot odds are roughly 1 in 292.2 million. Mega
Millions' overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 23, but the jackpot odds
are 1 in 290,472,336. That gap explains much of lottery psychology. People win
small amounts often enough to keep hope alive.
Then the giant jackpot sits on television wearing makeup.
$500 million.
$800 million.
$1 billion.
Come closer.
Just $2.
Just $5.
Maybe tonight.
And now AI adds a futuristic whisper:
“Maybe technology can improve your chances.”
No.
Technology can make the ticket-selection process more
sophisticated. It cannot make randomness less random. If ChatGPT gives me 8,
19, 27, 44, 61 and Powerball 13, those numbers are not blessed by silicon. They
are simply numbers. If they win, I got lucky. If they lose, ChatGPT did not
malfunction. And if somebody wins after using AI-generated numbers,
congratulations are appropriate. Scientific conclusions are not.
That distinction matters because humans have always
confused successful outcomes with successful methods. The lottery merely makes
the mistake spectacular.
A man dreams about 17 and wins using 17.
Suddenly dreams predict lotteries.
A woman uses her children's birthdays and wins.
Suddenly birthdays are a strategy.
A computer generates numbers and wins.
Computers are lucky.
ChatGPT generates numbers and wins.
Artificial intelligence has cracked Powerball.
Same superstition.
New costume.
I am not saying people should never buy lottery tickets.
Entertainment is entertainment. Somebody eventually wins jackpots. Real people
have collected life-changing sums, including Mega Millions prizes above $1
billion.
Buy the ticket if that is how you choose to spend your
entertainment money.
Dream.
Check the numbers.
Imagine telling your boss goodbye.
Enjoy the fantasy.
But I would keep one hand on my wallet when somebody
tells me AI knows which balls are coming out of the machine.
ChatGPT can write the resignation letter I might send
after winning Powerball. It cannot tell me when I will need it. That is the
punchline. We built machines capable of writing software, analyzing mountains
of data, translating languages and explaining advanced mathematics. Then we
looked at this extraordinary technology and asked the most human question
imaginable:
“Okay, genius. What are tomorrow's lottery numbers?”
The machine can give us 6 numbers.
Of course it can.
So can a fortune cookie.
So can a dartboard.
So can your dog if
you scatter numbered pieces of paper across the floor.
The miracle is not that ChatGPT can choose lottery
numbers. The miracle is that after seeing odds of roughly 1 in 292 million, I
can still convince myself that the right prompt might make mathematics blink.
It won't.
The lottery machine does not read prompts.
And Lady Luck does not have a ChatGPT account.
For readers interested
in a separate line of thought, the titles in my “Brief Book Series” are
available on Google Play. Read them here on Google Play or in Barnes &
Noble bookstore: Brief Book Series.

No comments:
Post a Comment