For 35 years, fear ran Iran. Protests meant graves. The supreme leader falls, but the system still breathes. Will the streets finally win—or bleed again?
When I think about Ali Khamenei’s 35 years in power, I
don’t think first about missiles, clerics, or speeches from balconies. I think
about a mother in Tehran staring at a grocery bill she can’t pay. I think about
a student whispering in a dorm room because walls have ears. I think about a
nation of 80 million people trapped inside a system that called repression
stability and called fear faith. That’s the real story. It was never just
Khamenei versus America or Israel. It was Khamenei versus his own people.
Late last year, the rial collapsed again. Inflation bit
hard. Savings turned to paper. Workers watched wages shrink while prices
sprinted. Anger spread from Tehran into all 31 provinces. That detail matters.
All 31. When unrest hits every corner of a country, it is not a foreign plot.
It is not a social media trend. It is a national scream. People poured into
streets because they were tired of being squeezed dry by corruption, sanctions,
and a leadership that preached sacrifice while controlling billions through
religious foundations and state-connected networks.
Khamenei responded the way strongmen always do. He called
protesters “rioters” and warned they would be “put in their place.” I’ve heard
that script before. It always ends the same way. Security forces rolled in. The
Revolutionary Guard tightened its grip. The Basij, a paramilitary force
numbering around 1,000,000, enforced discipline like a street gang with
official badges. In the weeks that followed, at least 7,000 people were killed.
Activists say the real number may exceed 36,500. Even if you cut that number in
half, the picture is brutal. That’s not crowd control. That’s collective
punishment.
But the deeper wound is not only in the body count. It’s
in the pattern. In 2019, when fuel prices jumped and people protested, Amnesty
International reported at least 304 deaths within days. In 2022, after Mahsa
Amini died in morality-police custody, demonstrations erupted again. Hundreds
were killed. Thousands were arrested. Teenagers were shot. Women were beaten
for showing hair. Judges issued death sentences like they were stamping forms
at a post office. This was not an isolated crackdown. It was a governing
strategy. Rule by fear. Rule by exhaustion. Rule until the streets fall silent.
Meanwhile, the regime’s inner circle did not live on
bread and slogans. Khamenei controlled powerful bonyads, religious foundations
that operate across construction, mining, finance, and more. They pay no tax.
They face little competition. Sanctions that strangled private businesses often
strengthened state-linked networks by keeping outsiders away. So while a shop
owner watched the rial sink, someone in a marble office signed contracts worth
millions. That contrast is not theory. It is daily life in an economy warped by
politics.
Some will say Iran’s isolation was forced by foreign
pressure. That sanctions hurt ordinary people. That is true. Sanctions bite.
But leadership choices matter too. Nuclear brinkmanship, regional proxy wars,
and rigid ideology deepen isolation. When a government funds militias abroad
while unemployment and inflation rage at home, priorities become obvious. You
can’t preach resistance while your youth line up for visas.
And they did line up. For years, talented Iranians left
in waves. Engineers, doctors, students, entrepreneurs. Brain drain is not just
an economic term. It is a quiet vote of no confidence. When the ambitious pack
their bags, the system has already failed them. Khamenei rarely traveled abroad
and kept public appearances limited, especially later in life as reports
described him as frail and recovering from surgeries. Yet from behind guarded
walls, he maintained a tight grip on power, appointing loyalists, shaping the
Guardian Council, and ensuring that any “moderate” who slipped through
elections had limits.
I imagine the conversations in small apartments during
those protests. “Should we go out?” one voice asks. “If we don’t, nothing
changes,” another replies. That’s the tension of living under a regime that
punishes both action and silence. Go out and risk a bullet. Stay home and watch
your future shrink. That’s not politics. That’s a trap.
When the bombing campaign began on February 28 and
President Donald Trump declared Khamenei dead, the headlines focused on
geopolitics. On Washington. On Jerusalem. On escalation. But I kept thinking
about those apartments. About the chants that had grown louder in recent
months, some openly calling for his death. That kind of chant does not come
from comfort. It comes from despair. When citizens risk prison to shout against
a supreme leader, something inside the social contract has snapped.
I am not naïve. Removing one man does not dissolve a
system built over 35 years. Institutions remain. Networks remain. Hardliners
remain. Power rarely evaporates just because the figurehead falls. Yet symbols
matter. In authoritarian states, the supreme leader is not just an
administrator. He is the spine. When the spine breaks, the body trembles.
Still, I refuse to romanticize this moment. There is
moral ambiguity here. War is messy. Bombs do not come with surgical guarantees.
Regional tensions are real. Retaliation is possible. But let’s not lose the
central fact: for decades, ordinary Iranians paid the highest price. They paid
in lost income, in censored speech, in prison terms, in graves. When protests
flared over a collapsing currency, the answer was live ammunition. When young
women demanded dignity, the answer was force. When voters hoped for reform, the
system clipped reform’s wings.
I stand with the Iranian people, not with the regime that
ruled them. I stand with the shopkeeper who watched prices double. I stand with
the student who whispered because microphones might be hidden. I stand with the
families who buried sons and daughters after security forces cleared the
streets. If a leader presides over the killing of at least 7,000 protesters,
possibly more than 36,500, then history will not grant him gentle adjectives. A
throne built on fear eventually shakes.
Now comes the hard part. What replaces him? Will power
consolidate around another hardliner? Will internal fractures widen? Will the
next chapter bring reform or more repression? No one knows. Revolutions are not
movies. They do not wrap up in 2 hours with swelling music. They grind. They
stall. They surprise.
But one truth is already written. For 35 years, the
regime feasted on control while its people absorbed the blows. The rial
collapsed, sanctions tightened, youth protested, and the answer was always the
same: crush them. That pattern defined an era. If that era is ending, even
partially, then the story is not about vengeance. It is about a nation that has
been holding its breath for decades.
I don’t celebrate death. I don’t cheer destruction. But I
refuse to shed tears for a system that buried its youth and called it order.
The real question now is whether Iran’s future will belong to the men with guns
or to the millions who once filled the streets across all 31 provinces and
dared to demand something better.
As a side note for
regular readers, I have also written many titles in my Brief Book Series,
now available on Google Play Books. You can also read them here on Google Play: Brief Book Series.

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