Iran still holds enough uranium for 10 nuclear bombs. The only way to end the threat may be a colossal U.S. special-forces invasion to steal it straight from fortified tunnels. In plain terms, if Iran keeps its uranium, the bomb clock keeps ticking. The only way out could be a gigantic U.S. commando raid that storms nuclear tunnels and steals the fuel.
War, I have learned, rarely knocks politely. It kicks
down the door, flips the lights on, and asks a blunt question: can you finish
the job you started? That question now hangs over Iran’s nuclear program like a
loaded rifle. President Donald Trump once declared the program “obliterated.”
Yet the hard numbers tell a different story. Iran still holds about 400 kg of
highly enriched uranium—HEU—enough material for roughly 10 nuclear bombs if
pushed a little further along the enrichment ladder. A snake with its head cut
off can still bite.
So the debate begins again. Can U.S. special forces truly
erase Iran’s nuclear capability? My answer is yes. The United States absolutely
has the military muscle, technology, and operational experience to do it. But
let me call a spade a spade: grabbing that uranium would demand one of the
largest and most dangerous raids in military history.
First comes the geography problem. Iran did not leave its
nuclear fuel lying around in a warehouse with a welcome mat. According to
Rafael Grossi, director of the International Atomic Energy Agency, much of the
uranium is believed to sit near Isfahan, tucked inside tunnels sealed with
earth. Additional stockpiles remain at Natanz and Fordow, the latter carved
into a mountain like a fortress designed by a paranoid engineer. These
facilities were built precisely to survive air strikes.
Bombs can smash buildings. They struggle against
mountains. That is why politicians started whispering the obvious solution. If
you want the uranium gone, somebody has to go get it.
Enter the people who specialize in impossible errands.
The United States maintains elite units under Joint Special Operations Command,
including Delta Force, SEAL Team Six, and specialized Nuclear Disablement
Teams. These soldiers train for the nightmare scenario of securing nuclear
weapons in unstable states. For years they rehearsed similar missions aimed at
Pakistan’s nuclear arsenal, drilling inside underground facilities constructed
at test sites in Nevada. I once spoke to a retired JSOC operator who laughed
when asked if the Americans could reach Isfahan. “Reach it?” he said. “We could
reach Mars if the fuel trucks kept coming.”
And fuel trucks are exactly the problem. Isfahan lies
roughly 500 km inland from the Persian Gulf. The aircraft most suited for the
job—MH-47G Chinook helicopters from the 160th Special Operations Aviation
Regiment—could reach that distance, but only with careful planning and
refueling. The unit already proved its daring during operations targeting
Nicolás Maduro in Venezuela and numerous raids across Afghanistan and Iraq.
But helicopters alone do not seize a nuclear complex. Imagine
the scene. Before the commandos arrive, American airpower hammers Iranian
defenses. Radar sites disappear. Air bases burn. Missiles vanish from their
launch pads. The sky fills with drones, reconnaissance aircraft, and orbiting
fighters. Overhead satellites watch every road like hawks staring at a field
mouse.
Then comes the insertion.
Helicopters roar across the desert at night. Paratroopers
drop in waves. Engineers clear a landing strip. The nearby Badr airbase, just
10 km from Isfahan’s nuclear facilities, becomes the prize. If the runway
cannot be seized intact, engineers build a makeshift strip from compacted dirt.
Cargo aircraft begin landing. Out pours heavy machinery—diggers, radiation
gear, nuclear-handling containers.
At least 1,000 troops would likely be needed just to hold
the perimeter. That means infantry, communications specialists, bomb
technicians, chemical experts, and logistics crews. Around them circles a
protective umbrella of aircraft fed by dozens of aerial refueling tankers. The
sky becomes a conveyor belt of fuel and firepower.
If that sounds excessive, remember history. During
Operation Neptune Spear in 2011, the raid that killed Osama bin Laden, fewer
than 80 commandos entered Pakistan. Yet the mission involved months of
rehearsals and massive intelligence preparation. And that target was a single
compound.
Isfahan is not a compound. It is a nuclear fortress.
Even if American troops punch through the defenses, the hardest job begins
underground. The uranium is probably stored as uranium hexafluoride, or UF6, a
chemical used in enrichment systems. Experts like Daniel Salisbury of the
International Institute for Strategic Studies estimate Iran’s stockpile could
fill roughly 19 specialized cylinders resembling scuba tanks. Handling that
material is dangerous business. Matthew Bunn of Harvard University warns that
damaging the containers could release hydrogen fluoride, a toxic gas capable of
burning lungs and skin. Another analyst, François Diaz-Maurin of the Bulletin
of the Atomic Scientists, notes that moisture entering the cylinders can create
uranyl fluoride and hydrofluoric acid, substances capable of causing
explosions.
In plain English, one wrong move could poison the
entire site. Commanders would have three grim choices. Blow the uranium up.
Neutralize it on site. Or carry it away.
Destroying it sounds easy until one remembers that the
resulting toxic cloud could contaminate everything nearby. Downblending the
material—mixing it with less enriched uranium—would require bulky equipment
flown in under fire.
That leaves the most cinematic option: steal it.
Picture cargo planes loading the cylinders while
commandos fight to keep the perimeter secure. Every minute matters. Iranian
forces would inevitably rush toward the site. The raid could last days, not
hours. I know critics who scoff at such plans. They say the mission is too big,
too risky, too complex. They remind me of Operation Eagle Claw in 1980, the
disastrous attempt to rescue American hostages in Tehran. Mechanical failures
and a desert collision killed 8 U.S. servicemen, humiliating the Jimmy Carter
administration.
Fair point.
But the American military of 2026 is not the military of
1980. Technology changed the battlefield. Satellite surveillance, stealth
aircraft, precision-guided weapons, and real-time intelligence networks now
give commanders a clarity once reserved for science fiction. War is still hell,
but the devil now carries a laptop.
Israel also brings critical experience. Its forces spent
years battling Hamas and Hizbullah inside sprawling tunnel systems beneath Gaza
and Lebanon. Israeli engineers know how to map underground networks, collapse
shafts, and fight in claustrophobic spaces where radios barely function. If
Israeli commandos joined the mission, the raid would gain invaluable tunnel
warfare expertise. But Israel lacks the heavy transport fleet needed for such a
massive operation. The cargo planes would still have to come from the United
States.
Which brings us back to the blunt truth. Yes,
American special forces could obliterate Iran’s nuclear program. They have the
training, the technology, and the operational imagination to do it. But
obliteration is not the same as bombing. Bombs destroy buildings. Nuclear
programs survive inside laboratories, tunnels, and sealed cylinders of enriched
uranium. To erase that threat completely, someone must physically seize the
material.
And that means launching a raid so large it would look
less like a commando strike and more like a temporary occupation. A former
Western military chief said it best when he described the scale required.
Either you slip in quietly with a tiny team—or you go big and “turn that part
of Iran into the United States of America for a while.”
In other words, the job can be done.
But it would be a raid written in fire across the history
books.
On a different but
equally important note, readers who enjoy thoughtful analysis may also find the
titles in my “Brief Book Series”
worth exploring. You can also read them here on Google Play: Brief Book Series.

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