Japan’s economic stagnation has driven it to the point where even its most iconic brands are being sold off to foreign interests, signaling the nation's decline as a global power.
It
looks like Japan’s beloved konbini might soon be under new management,
and that is raising eyebrows in boardrooms and break rooms alike. It is a
little ironic, isn’t it? The same country that perfected the convenience store
model with 7-Eleven, might just be handing over the keys to a Canadian
retailer. This isn’t just about a business deal—it is a signal of Japan’s
shifting corporate culture, and some might say, a surrender of its economic
sovereignty.
Alimentation
Couche-Tard (ACT), the Canadian giant behind Circle K, made an audacious move
by offering to buy Seven & i Holdings, the parent company of 7-Eleven. This
isn’t just any offer—it could become the largest foreign takeover of a Japanese
company in history. Imagine that, the global titan of convenience stores might
no longer be Japanese, but Canadian. For a country that’s so proud of its
homegrown brands, this potential acquisition speaks volumes about the changing
tides in Japanese business practices.
But
how did we get here? Let’s rewind a bit. For years, American activist investors
like Third Point and ValueAct Capital have been putting the heat on Seven &
i to streamline its operations. They’ve been relentless, pushing the company to
focus on its core convenience store business. It’s no secret that Japan’s
population is aging, and with that comes stagnation in domestic market growth.
Seven & i realized this and began selling off parts of its empire, like
Sogo & Seibu and downsizing Ito-Yokado, to focus on expanding its
convenience store business internationally. They even outbid ACT in 2020 to
acquire Speedway, a network of American petrol stations.
But
despite these moves, the market wasn’t impressed. Seven & i’s shares were
down by 6% this year, while the broader Nikkei index saw a 14% rise. Add to
that a weaker yen, and the company’s valuation took a hit in dollar terms. ACT,
on the other hand, has been thriving. Despite having fewer stores and lower
sales, the Canadian company is far more profitable, with a return on capital of
10%, compared to Seven & i’s meager 4%. Their market value? A whopping $56
billion, dwarfing the Japanese company.
This
disparity created a perfect storm for ACT to swoop in. Known for its aggressive
growth strategy, ACT has built more than 70% of its store network through
acquisitions, and they’ve set an ambitious goal to nearly double their gross
operating profit to $10 billion by 2028. Acquiring 7-Eleven would be a massive
leap towards achieving that goal. Investors seem to agree—Seven & i’s
shares skyrocketed by 23% after the takeover announcement.
But
let’s not pop the champagne just yet. There are a few hurdles to clear. For
starters, Seven & i’s board might reject the offer. And even if they don’t,
regulators could step in. In the United States, 7-Eleven and ACT already
dominate the convenience store market with around 20,000 outlets combined. The
next largest competitor, Casey’s, has less than 3,000. The U.S. government
might have something to say about such a consolidation. Remember what happened
when ACT tried to buy Carrefour in 2021? The French government blocked the
deal, citing food security concerns. Japan might follow suit, especially since
konbini play a crucial role in disaster relief efforts. The Japanese government
could argue that foreign control might jeopardize this vital function.
Regardless
of the outcome, this bid is a watershed moment. Japan’s corporate governance
has been slowly evolving since former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s reforms in
2013. These reforms have pushed Japanese companies to become more
shareholder-friendly, and more open to mergers and acquisitions. The fact that
Seven & i didn’t outright reject ACT’s offer is a testament to how much has
changed. The company’s board formed a special committee of outside directors to
carefully review the offer—a move that would have been unthinkable just a
decade ago.
Yet,
this deal also raises uncomfortable questions about Japan’s future. Alain
Bouchard, ACT’s founder, has long dreamed of acquiring 7-Eleven. Back in 2005,
he flew to Tokyo to persuade Ito Masatoshi, the man who brought 7-Eleven to
Japan, to sell the American part of the business. Ito refused, famously saying,
“The Japanese aren’t sellers.” Fast forward to today, and that once steadfast
stance seems to be crumbling. What does it say about Japan when one of its most
iconic brands is up for grabs?
Perhaps
this deal signals a deeper issue within Japan’s economy. The country’s
businesses are facing intense pressure from foreign investors, and with an
aging population and stagnant growth, they’re struggling to stay competitive.
Japan’s willingness to entertain such a monumental takeover might be seen as a
sign of desperation, a move to keep up with global players even if it means
sacrificing a piece of its national identity.
In
the end, whether this deal goes through or not, it’s clear that Japan’s
economic landscape is undergoing a transformation. The country that once prided
itself on being an economic powerhouse now finds itself at the mercy of foreign
interests. And if Japan isn’t careful, it might just sell off more than it
bargained for.
So,
as Japan contemplates handing over its beloved 7-Eleven to a foreign power, one
can’t help but wonder—is this the beginning of the end for Japan Inc.? Or is it
just another example of how, in today’s globalized world, even the most sacred
of institutions are up for sale? Either way, it seems Japan’s corporate culture
is getting a makeover, whether it likes it or not. After all, when the
convenience store that perfected the rice ball might no longer be Japanese, you
have to ask—what’s next on the chopping block?
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